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comment
Lai Ching-te
★
comment
William Lai,
Taiwan president |
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comment Lai
Ching-te, Taiwan's president
(Lai Ching-te takes up the mantle from his DPP predecessor
Tsai Ing-wen since May 20, 2024.)
◆ Economist 2024-10-3: Chinese authorities call Lai Ching-te a stubborn, confrontational “separatist” who may provoke war in the Taiwan Strait. But since Mr Lai's election, PLA has been raising the chances of conflict by deploying more air and naval craft around Taiwan. Few people in Taiwan are aware of how close and regular the PLA patrols are... too much disclosure would damage Taiwan’s public morale or economy ◆ GIS Report, 2024-9-30: Lai Ching-te seems to be a much calmer character than former President Chen, although he does not yet demonstrate the elegance of Tsai Ing-wen. In terms of soft tactics, he still has a lot to improve. Lai Ching-te's hard approach is reflected in his conclusion that China had misinterpreted United Nations General Assembly Resolution 2758 ◆ National Interest, 2024-9-28: Taiwan is at the center of the rising battle between the oldest modern democracy in the world, the United States, and China. Tensions between Beijing and Taipei increased as a result of last January's presidential elections in the island that put into power the Democratic Progressive Party candidate, Lai Ching-te, who ran on a platform inimical to the interests of Beijing ◆ Crisis Group, 2024-9-26: The Widening Schism across the Taiwan Strait / Beijing finds the Lai administration's cross-strait posture provocative and will escalate its already heightened pressure campaign to challenge Taiwan's de facto sovereignty. Taipei should return to more measured, cautious public characterisations of its status and relationship to China ◆ Brookings, 2024-9-25: The Lai Ching-te administration does not believe Beijing's strategic appetite for absorbing Taiwan can be sated through dialogue, reassurance, or deeper economic integration To make progress in advancing grand strategy, the Lai administration will need to overcome deepening domestic political divides as well as challenges to Taiwan's well-being, such as limits on energy supply and demographic headwinds. ◆ Asia Nikkei (Japan), 2024-9-26: International Crisis Group advises Taiwan's new president (Lai) should adopt a less muscular posture toward China, even if doing so is unlikely to soften Beijing's own hawkish ◆ War On The Rocks (2024-9-20): Washington is quietly watching how Taiwan's new president Lai consolidates power using the court to prosecute former vice premier Cheng Wen-tsan over corruption allegations. The arrest and detention of TPP chair Ko Wen-je on corruption charges have Lai's critics protesting that he is using the judiciary to persecute rivals. Washington observers might worry that Lai is undermining the independence of the judicial system ◆ Financial Times, 2024-9-19: China's People's Liberation Army has ratcheted up patrols and drills near Taiwan to unprecedented levels since President Lai Ching-te took office,The scale of activity is getting larger and larger, and so it is harder to discern when they might be shifting from training to a large exercise, and from an exercise to war.
What Lai Ching-te said |
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Lai said
(via video) during the annual Concordia Summit in New York,
etc and his four-pillar plan
- brief
♦ (2) Taiwan's
solidarity with the alliance of democracies is essential to
jointly deter authoritarianism (China) United Daily 2024-9-25和民主陣營站在一起,共同發揮威懾力量,以備戰達到避戰,並強調絕不會簽署和平協定。
udn.com/news/story/6656/8249058?from=udn_ch2cate6638sub6656_pulldownmenu_v2 |
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what Lai did |
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Lai wants to rely on the United States to protect it ♦ (1)
Financial Times 9-19: Lai's
national defence spending for 2025 marks a slight
drop in terms of GDP, from 2.5 per cent this year to 2.45 per cent.
(by contrast, Israel 6% ) GIS Report, 2024-9-30:
even to 3 percent of GDP is unlikely to satisfy U.S.
expectations under a Trump administration. ♦
(3)
Elbridge Colby (co-led
the Trump administration's development of its National Defense Strategy)
said (Taipei Times, 2024): There are few visible indicators of a
society preparing to repel an attack as one might see in, say, Israel.
Indeed;
Taiwanese leaders
themselves have undermined this effort by urging the US to send key
weapons, industrial base attention, and money to Ukraine rather than
Taiwan. |
|
Economist, 2024-9-5: polls suggest Taiwanese will to resist rests, on whether Taiwanese think America will defend them. |
|
♦ Wall Street Journal, 2024-8-28: Elbridge Colby has fired off a flurry of social-media commentary suggesting the U.S. may not come to Taiwan's defense in the event of Chinese aggression. ♦ 247wallst. 2024-9-19: Similar to Ukraine, the United States may opt to stay out of any armed conflict but supply Taiwan with substantial military aid to fight alone. ♦ The Hill, 2024-9-26: Every day the U.S. sends an inadvertent message of “non-deterrence” to China. ♦ Foreign Policy, 2023-9-8: Deterrence in Taiwan Is Failing / The United States has committed to keeping the peace but isn't doing enough to stop the war ♦
The i, 2024-8-16:
the war in Ukraine has sucked so much resource and attention from Europe
that it cannot militarily support another conflict in its current state.
The US cannot prosecute a war (ps: in Taiwan) beyond the weapons and munitions in
its inventory. |
"cyberwar" - pro-Russian vs Taiwan |
|
The Jamestown Foundation , 2024-9-30 | Russia was quick to respond to President Lai's suggestion: Lai is not authorized to speak on China's behalf about the ownership of Russian territories. Taiwan should focus on China's offer of peaceful reunification. Komsomol’skaia Pravda, February 9, 2019: The Qing land lost is almost twice the size of modern Germany. China's stridency towards the Soviet Union subsided following Mao's death |
CNBC (USA), 2024-9-13 | "a large number of foreign IPs launched invalid queries" on stock exchange network, resulting in “unstable service for a short period of time. Local media reported this attack on the Taiwanese government and financial unites, including airports and tax bureaus by a pro-Russian hacker group in retaliation for comments made by Taiwanese President William Lai (Lai Ching-te) .cnbc.com/2024/09/13/pro-russian-hackers-crash-taiwan-stock-exchange-website-local-media-reports-.html |
Daily Express (UK), 2024-9-3 | Lai Ching-te has mocked Vladimir Putin with a humiliating quip, saying his biggest ally China should take advantage of Russia being at its "weakest" and take back territory. |
◆ Asia Nikkei (Japan), 2024-9-11: Beijing wades into Taipei drama over corruption probe against TPP leader Ko Wen-je, and has accused Taiwan's president of persecuting Beijing-leaning revals ◆ Financial Times, 2024-9-6: Prosecutors' swift moves against Cheng (former premier 鄭文燦) and Ko Wen-je (Chairman of TPP) have prompted Taiwanese commentators to question whether Lai was “cleaning house” of political rivals or pushing an anti-corruption crackdown to win back public support (divert attention from the current chaos in domestic politics.). an official at the Judicial Yuan said investigators typically sounded out their superiors before proceeding with big cases, especially those involving vested interests or politicians. “In a case like this, a signal would have been given from above before they go and detain him" ◆ Asia Nikkei (Japan), 2024-9-5: Taiwan's Ko Wen-je accuses government of witch hunt; Ko Wen-je, head of the Taiwan People's Party, vowed to fight on and launched broadsides against the legal system and the press, accusing them of doing the bidding of President Lai Ching-te's Democratic Progressive Party. ◆ Newsweek , 2024-9-5: Russian Foreign Ministry said Lai is "being pushed towards separatism by the Americans." ; he should focus more on attention to Taiwan's economy... ◆ US News & World Report , 2024-9-1: The TPP and KMT joined forces this year to push through reforms to give parliament greater oversight power that prompted mass protests. Those reforms, opposed by President Lai Ching-te's DPP, are being reviewed by Taiwan's constitutional court. TPP founder Ko Wen-je was released today after being questioned in graft probe ◆ Reuters, 2024-9-2: If China wants Taiwan it should also take back land from Russia, president Lai Ching-te says ◆ EFE (Spain), 2024-8-29: Taiwan says not 'affiliated' with China after Wang- Sullivan meeting in Beijing; Since William Lai (Lai Ching-te) took office in May, China has raised the tone of its threats against the “secessionists” of Taiwan ...... ◆ SCMP, 2024-8-30: Taiwan's new leader is cutting mainland ties by reframing history ◆ Asia Nikkei (Japan), 2024-8-27: William Lai marks 100 days in office as China and opposition test mettle; The defining themes of his presidency so far have been efforts to reform the economy, strengthen Taiwan's defenses against China's threats and deal with a confrontational opposition that controls parliament. ◆ Defense News, 2024-8-23: President Lai Ching-te's election campaign promised that defense spending would reach 3% of GDP. Taiwan's defense expenditures in 2025 will represent 2.45% of GDP, almost identical to this year's if lawmakers approve the proposal later this month. ◆ National Review, 2024-8-23: the CCP's prominent Chinese People's Political and Consultative Conference body purportedly passed a resolution urging the Chinese authorities to craft a “Taiwan Province Separatist Forces Blacklist”; The author of that resolution called for the execution of Taiwanese president William Lai ◆ Financial Times, 2024-8-22: Taiwan's top security officials make secret trip to US for talks; Some US officials are also privately nervous about Lai, who is inexperienced in foreign affairs and seen as more unpredictable than Tsai. ◆ Atlantic Council, 2024-8-21: Lai Ching-Te and the Legislative Yuan should work together to increase defense spending and military readiness. This requires ensuring that more new voluntary military recruits and conscripts are familiar with or trained in manning asymmetrical systems, such as the Stinger, Javelin, and Harpoon missiles.◆ AFP, 2024-8-21: Lai Ching-te points to Beijing's joint exercises with Russia in the South China Sea, Western Pacific and Sea of Japan. Lai has repeatedly made overtures for dialogue with Beijing but talks have effectively dried up since the 2016 election of his predecessor, Tsai Ing-wen, who has long said Taiwan is not part of China. ◆ Asia Nikkei (Japan), 2024-8-15: Excessive U.S. pressure on Taiwan defense spending plays into (China) CCP's hands ◆ GIS Report (Geopolitical Intelligence Services), 2024-8-15: Lai Ching-te is struggling to counter the creative use of pressure coming from China. Lai's governance style is seen as more “manly” and unafraid of conflict, while lacking a degree of sophistication. ◆ Council on Foreign Relations, 2024-8-9: Taiwan's President, Lai Ching-te, has unveiled plans to increase defense spending by nearly six percent. Taiwan should do all it can to prepare for the worst and mounts a stiff resistance if deterrence fails. To that end, Taiwan's leaders should embrace a new defense spending target of five percent of GDP and rapidly meet that goal through yearly double-digit percentage increases ◆ Washington Post, Star and Strips, 2024-8-4: the “Zero Day” show's bleak assessment of Taiwanese readiness to fight touches upon a very real problem facing President Lai Ching-te. Matt Pottinger says that Taiwan needs the political will and foresight to dedicate some of its best military officers to recruitment and instruction. “I'm really hoping that Taiwan makes these sacrifices"
Should biological males compete against women? Taiwan's Olympic Controversies - Lin won a Gold medal in female boxingnThe Diplomat, 2024-8-6: a global furor over a boxer's gender. n Fox News, 2024-8-4: Debate over the biological sex of a boxer who won women's match at the Olympic Games is sweeping the globe. n Fox News, 2024-8-11: The IBA has said that Lin had an unfair advantage against female opponents. |
|
West |
Taiwan |
♦ Associated
Press News, 2024-8-11:
The two boxers' detractors
included former U.S. President Donald Trump, “Harry Potter” author J.K. Rowling
and Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni.
Their presence in Paris became a weapon in a largely Western culture clash over
eligibility for women's sports. ♦ BBC, 2024-8-12: high profile figures like ex-US President Donald Trump and English author JK Rowling took to social media to decry the decision to let them compete in the women's categories. ♦ Reuters, 2024-8-7: Tesla founder Elon Musk voicing their opposition to the two boxers competing at the Games. ♦ Fox News , 2024-8-4: ...a positive test for "XY chromosomes. The IBA: said Lin and Khelif have competitive advantages. ♦ BBC,
2024-8-9: Dr Emma Hilton, a developmental biologist who studies
genetic disorders.
argues Imane Khelif and Lin Yu-ting
shouldn’t be competing until further testing is done.Some are calling for mandatory sex testing at the next Olympics -
including Reem Alsalem, the UN's special rapporteur on violence against women
and girls. “Screening DNA is now a piece of cake". |
♦ Reuters,
2024-8-7: Taiwan President Lai Ching-te said
Lin had been "maliciously attacked"
by the IBA.
"Yu-Ting is still under a lot of unfair pressure..."
♦ BBC, 2024-8-12: Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te calls Lin a "daughter of Taiwan," saying she had made Taiwan proud. " she has overcome misinformation and cyberbullying" .
♦
Independent, 2024-8-8: "Let's cheer for Lin Yu-ting together", wrote Tsai Ing-wen,
Taiwan's first female president , adding that Lin was seeking victory for herself and honour for
Taiwan.
|
PS: Taiwan's The China Times (2024-8-13): Olympics Paris forced one of Taiwan's athletes to do gender test. (巴黎奧運公然對台灣某位選手無禮,竟強迫她去作性別檢查) chinatimes.com/opinion/20240813001656-262110?chdtv |
◆
TIME,
2024-8-2: Harry Potter writer J.K.
Rowling, a key opinion leader, is publicly questioning the Taiwanese
athlete's ( Olympian Lin Yu Ting has XY chromosomes ) gender (a
transgender ) and doubling down on opposition to the participation of
athletes like Lin.
Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te's spokesperson
said that Lin “has shown incredible strength, overcoming doubts to
compete fairly on the world stage. Your determination inspires the
nation!” ◆
Bloomberg,
2024-7-30: Taiwan President Lai Ching-te pledged to work with other democracies
around the world to stand up to China, and “continue to push for defense
autonomy” and weapons procurement from overseas, his comments likely to deepen his
rift with Beijing.◆
Reuters, 2024-7-30:
Taiwan president (Lai Ching-te) warns on
China, pushes defence self-reliance ◆
Benzinga, 2024-7-30:
After Trump's Taiwan comments, President Lai Ching Te says 'China's
threat to any individual country is a threat to the world'◆
Independent (UK), 2024-7-30:
Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be worse global crisis than Ukraine war
or Covid, warns president
Lai Ching-te ◆
Politico, 2024-7-25:
Trump spooks Taiwan / The political class of Taiwan is
increasingly uneasy that a Donald Trump victory in Nov. may
make Taiwan a bargaining chip in U.S. diplomacy with
Beijing.
Trump also
suggested that trying to defend the island would
be futile ◆
Associated Press, 2024-7-24:
President Lai Ching-te stressed the need for the island to continue
exercises simulating an attack by enemies amid 'changing geopolitics'.◆
Bloomberg, 2024-7-22:
Taiwan's President risks
angering China with
'National Identity'
call.
Lai Ching-te urges
DPP to protect Taiwan sovereignty.
KMT lawmaker
said
it smacked of “ideology and nationalism” and was a
sign that Lai was moving toward despotism
◆
US News, 2024-7-21: Taiwan must protect its sovereignty
and know its own culture and history,
President Lai Ching-te said,
rejecting what he said was the previous
mistaken belief the island could serve
as a base to "retake" China.
◆
New York Times, 2024-7-16: China is putting
more military and political pressure on Taiwan and its new president
(Lai Ching-te), whose rhetoric has been sharper than his
predecessor's... Mr. Lai with hard choices about how and when to push
back or exercise restraint
◆
Bloomberg, TIME, 2024-7-11:
China sent a record number of warplanes across a
U.S.-drawn boundary in the Taiwan Strait—a move that comes as the new
president (Lai Ching-te) of the archipelago mulls a trip that may
include a stop in America ◆
Financial Times, 2024-7-10:
President Lai Ching-te has made improving civil defences a
priority since he took office. However experts warn that Taiwan
remains woefully underprepared for war.
◆
Reuters, 2024-7-9:
Taiwan president says ahead of annual war games
that
"In history, there are many cases where the few
win out over the many, and there are countless ways to win over
old-fashioned enemies with
new thinking."
◆
National
Interest, 2024-7-5:
Taiwan seeks to escape its history / Lai Ching-te
said Taiwan has been an international entity ... since 1624. DPP
administrations have issued textbooks that
teach Taiwan's history separately from Chinese history. But
The Struggle for Taiwan : Taiwan was, in fact, part of the
Chinese empire from 1683 to 1895, and part of the Japanese empire after
the First Sino-Japanese War (1894–5). US President Franklin
Roosevelt at the wartime Cairo
Conference (1943) agreed that Taiwan would be “restored to the Republic of
China” after the defeat of Japan. However, Lai's clear preference
for Taiwan's permanent separation from China echoes almost verbatim an emerging U.S. argument that Taiwan's geostrategic importance
dictates that Washington should never allow China to gain
control over it.
nationalinterest.org/feature/taiwan-seeks-escape-its-history-211750
China seized Taiwan boat with crew for fishing illegally - a move could add to tensions between Beijing and President Lai Ching-te of Taiwan. |
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◆ New York Times, 2024-7-3 | China Seizes Taiwanese Fishing Boat in Latest Uptick in Tensions; Bonnie Glaser: China wants to demonstrate to Taiwan that it does not have control over air space and sea space...and sends a signal to Lai Ching-te that he is very close to their red lines and he had better not cross them. |
◆ Bloomberg, 2024-7-3 | China sees Lai Ching-te as pushing for independence for the US-backed island...Officials in Taipei have also expressed concern that China will detain more individuals from the island to pile pressure on Lai. |
pic.: "comment Lai Ching-te" (Chinese version "評論賴清德") ranks No.1 on MetaGER.de (Germany) , 2024-8-8, 2024-7-1, 2024-5-20, 2024-5-8, 2024-5-2, 2024-4-10, 2024-3-22, 2024-1-1, 2023-12-18, 2023-11-23, 2023-10-25, 2023-9-18, 2023-9-1, 2023-8-29, 2023-8-19
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◆
Washington Examiner, 2024-7-2:
Xi
Jinping's regime is setting the legal and diplomatic table for a crackdown
on Taiwan while
blaming the United
States for the growing possibility of war over the island democracy...
“The Chinese government has the right to
expel this regime..."
The ominous rhetoric seems to express in part Xi’s displeasure with Lai Ching-Te
◆
Washington Post, 2024-7-1: China: Taiwan's
leadership, along with its supporters in the United States, is
pursuing
“separation” from China in “incremental” fashion.
◆
Nikkei Asia , 2024-7-2:
China pressures Taiwan's Lai (Ching-te) with
most jet fighters in nearly 2 years ◆
Asia Society, 2024-6-26:
Lai Ching-te's inauguration
speech, however, was clear and much less restrained than that of his
predecessor, Tsai Ing-wen, whose rhetorical
flair in public speeches opted for cautious and strategically dull
wording. In fact, Lai placed greater emphasis on the differences between
Taiwan and the PRC
◆
Wall Street Journal, 2024-6-23:
Lai Ching-te said he aimed to make Taiwan the “Asian center
for the democratic drone supply chain.";
Taiwan has the know-how to build its own
unmanned aircraft, now it is a question of
scale.
◆
CNN, 2024-6-21:
China has made no
secret of its dislike of President Lai
Ching-te. China threatens death penalty for ‘diehard’ Taiwan
separatists
◆
Bloomberg, 2024-6-21:
Activities that can lead to guilty verdicts include promoting Taiwan's
membership in international organizations and conducting official
exchanges and military contacts with other nations, according to a legal
opinion issued by China's top court ; But The opinion didn't name new President Lai Ching-te or his predecessor, Tsai
I. W.
◆
Voice of
America, 2024-6-13:
International Crisis Group
expert:
Beijing's approach, it seems at least for now, is
really to lean on Washington to keep the incoming Lai administration on
a more moderate course
◆
TIME, 2024-6-13:
new president Lai Ching-te : "dignity and equivalence with the PRC"
means 1.
the PRC should recognize that the Republic of China
exists.
2.
each issue should be mutually beneficial and
reciprocal
3.share
a common conviction to enhance the well-being of people on both sides of
the Taiwan Strait, working toward an objective of peace and mutual
prosperity
◆
VOA, 2024-6-13:
The future of Taiwan, at least for the next four
years, largely depends on the actions of the island's new president, Lai
Ching-te.
◆
Neue Zürcher Zeitung (Swiss), 2024-6-6:
Taiwan's
president, Lai Ching-te wanted to lead the island to independence.
◆
CSIS ChinaPower Project, 2024-5-25 / Chinese officials and state media have made six different criticisms of Lai's inauguration speech: |
1.
It distorts Taiwan's relations with China, does not recognize that Taiwan is
part of China, promotes a two-state theory, and labels China as a foreign
country; 2. It seeks external involvement and intervention to support Taiwan independence and to make Taiwan a pawn for the west; 3. It tries to use democracy as a guise to pursue independence and undermine peace and stability; 4. It exaggerates and stokes the military threat from China; 5. It weaponizes Taiwan public opinion against China; 6. It does not accurately reflect mainstream public opinion in Taiwan |
◆ AFP, 2024-5-24: China's military drills encircle Taiwan / China warns that Taiwan's leadership was pushing the self-ruled island into war and warned of further "countermeasures". The United Nations called for all sides to avoid escalation. ◆ CNBC, 2024-5-24: This military drill is a signal to shape international narratives. The real 'punishment' against Taiwan may be yet to come, for it takes time.", expert with the Atlantic Council's Global China Hub said. Lai Ching-te may "become emboldened" to depart further from his predecessor Tsai Ing-wen's relatively cautious positioning and "act on his pro-independence instincts ◆ Reuters, Korea Times, 2024-5-24: Beijing was sending a finely calibrated warning that Chinese forces could attempt a swift blockade if it wanted to bring Lai to heel ◆ Financial Times, 2024-5-22: Lai Ching-te's language on sovereignty has already strayed from the path taken by his more cautious predecessor. ◆ Washington Post, 2024-5-20: Taiwan swears in new president, the ruling party DPP has transformed the island democracy into a bulwark against Chinese aggression and brushed off increasingly ominous threats from Beijing; the perception is that Lai Ching-te's policy could be more provocative compared to Tsai's policy ◆ New York Times, 2024-5-20: Taiwan's president, Lai Ching-te vows to keep the island democracy safe in the face of Chinese pressure and wars raging abroad
Bloomberg : "He wants to lead Taiwan, But can he keep peace?"
pic.: "comment Lai
Ching-te"(Chinese version "評論賴清德")
ranks No.1 on US
Yahoo
, 2024-7-1, 2023-12-31, 2023-12-17, 2023-11-22, 2023-10-25, 2023-9-28, 2023-9-18, 2023-9-1, 2023-8-28
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China Launches Military Drills Around Taiwan as 'Punishment', 'Reprisals' |
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◆ New York Times, 2024-5-22 | China took offense to Mr. Lai's assertion that — they “are not subordinate to each other” — and his emphasis on Taiwan's democratic identity and warnings against threats from China. Beijing accused Mr. Lai of promoting formal independence for Taiwan ── the drill was “based on various stages of an invasion of Taiwan... might feature training to seize one of those islands. |
◆ BBC, 2024-5-23 | the ongoing exercise is aimed at "simulating a full-scale armed invasion of Taiwan"... for the first time also targeted the Taipei-controlled islands of Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu and Dongyin. China aims to show Taipei that its east is now exposed to Chinese attack, and to show the Americans that any effort to resupply or re-enforce Taiwan from the east is vulnerable to Chinese missile strikes and naval attack. |
◆ AFP, 2024-5-23 | China holds war games around Taiwan, vows flowing blood。 CCTV : the drills were partly aimed at rehearsing an economic blockade of the island, "strangle" Taiwan's critical Kaohsiung port to "severely impact" its foreign trade, and cut off "Taiwan's lifeline of energy imports" as well as "block the support lines that some US allies provide to 'Taiwan independence' forces". General S. Sklenka described the exercises as "concerning" but not unexpected. |
◆ CNN, 2024-5-22 | CCTV: creating an omnidirectional approach in pushing toward the island. An expert ( at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) calls China's latest drills “an intimidation tactic, part of a pattern, not a sign of imminent war.” Beijing has a robust coercion kitbag from which it will mix and match, ratchet up and back and up again to signal its range of options to coerce and inflict pain。 |
◆ AFP, 2024-5-22 | China slammed the inauguration speech of new Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te as a " downright 'confession of Taiwan independence'" |
◆ Washington Post, 2024-5-23 | The forces were simulating strikes on “high value ‘enemy’ targets” in military drills. |
◆ Reuters, 2024-5-23 | Taiwanese officials told Reuters those areas were outside its contiguous zone, which is 24 nautical miles from the main island's coast. |
◆ Reuters, 2024-5-20: Lai Ching-te takes office as Taiwan's new president on Monday facing an angry and deeply suspicious China which believes he is a "separatist", and a fractious parliament with an opposition chomping at the bit to challenge him. ◆ Washington Examiner, 2024-5-20: Lai, a deep green, more liberal than Biden member of the DPP,Lai has shown "a willingness to signal a pragmatic approach to outreach to Beijing, effectively a continuation of President Tsai's approach" ◆ Economist (UK), 2024-5-16: Taiwan's incoming president, Lai Ching-te, will face new challenges. If you want the world to help in your struggle against an overbearing neighbour, you must first fight back fiercely yourselves. ◆ AFP (French), 2024-5-16: Taiwan's Lai Ching-te takes the helm as president of the self-ruled island, tasked with navigating the widening rift with an increasingly assertive China. "My defining moment came as China's military adventurism... threatened our shores with live fire exercises and missiles," he wrote in an op-ed for The Wall Street Journal last year. During Lai's time as premier, he was more vocal than Tsai about independence ◆ Brookings, 2024-5-14: Beware forecasts of doom for Taiwan under Lai / William Lai is not a wild-eyed zealot with a one-track-minded focus on Taiwan independence. He will want to win reelection. To do so, he almost certainly will need to tack to the center of Taiwan's political spectrum ... Lai's principal task will be to improve living conditions and life prospects for Taiwan's rising generation of voters... drive social and economic reforms through Taiwan's divided legislature... He will need to govern with discretion and finesse, rather than bold strokes, to keep Taiwan safe in the face of China's growing threat. ◆ Foreign Policy, 2024-5-12: William Lai vowed not to alter the status quo; While campaigning, Lai defined success for Taiwan as its leaders being able to visit the White House. This was a gauntlet thrown down—Taiwanese officials are blocked from visiting Washington. The Biden administration immediately demanded an explanation. This was not how the relationship worked. Lai was willing to push his luck. ◆ Economist, 2024-5-16: Taiwan's new president Lai Ching-te faces an upsurge in Chinese coercion; but China's bullying of Japan, Taiwan and the Philippines risks an explosion. ◆ Voice of America, 2024-5-16: Taiwan's new president Lai Ching-te will face growing pressure from China at a time when the world is increasingly divided. ☉ full text
William Lai's inauguration speech |
|
◆L.A.
Times, 2024-5-20 yahoo.com/news/taiwans-president-calls-peace-amid-145319105.html |
Taiwan's new president calls for peace amid tenuous relations with China. while Lai's remarks may reassure some foreign governments that he will not pursue formal independence for Taiwan, it did little to placate leaders in China. Lai's inauguration speech largely telegraphed his plan to continue the same policies as Tsai ; He's trying to project an image of pragmatism and predictability |
◆BBC,
2024-5-21 yahoo.com/news/stop-threatening-taiwan-president-william-060149657.html |
China warned that the island's new leader "must seriously" consider the question of whether he wants peaceful development or confrontation. Chinese state media even suggested he should be prosecuted for secession. The 64-year-old also stuck closely to the formula used by his predecessor president Tsai; how Lai deals with Beijing will be the biggest question that will determine his presidency, especially as both sides have had no formal communication since 2016. |
◆Reuters,
2024-5-21 yahoo.com/news/chinas-foreign-minister-calls-taiwans-102611047.html |
Lai, like his predecessor Tsai Ing-wen, says only Taiwan's people can decide their future, rejecting Beijing's sovereignty claims. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi called Lai "disgraceful" - "The ugly acts of Lai Ching-te and others who betray the nation and their ancestors is disgraceful". |
◆CNN, 2024-5-20 | the DPP refused to endorse the so-called “1992 consensus” that both Taiwan and the mainland belong to “one China,” but with different interpretations of what that means. Beijing deems the tacit agreement a precondition for dialogue. |
◆Politico,
AP, 2024-5-20 yahoo.com/news/lai-ching-te-inaugurated-taiwan-024228911.html |
In 2017, he described himself as a “pragmatic worker for Taiwan's independence,” drawing Beijing's rebuke. He has since softened his stance and now supports maintaining the status quo across the Taiwan Strait and the possibility of talks with Beijing. |
◆ Reuters, 2024-5-16: Taiwan's incoming president Lai Ching-te faces angry China, fractured parliament; China said the "Taiwan region's new leader" had to make a clear choice between peaceful development or confrontation. "They are trying to pressure the new Lai government, wanting him to make concessions under military pressure" ◆ Reuters, 2024-5-15: China's military has sailed and flown closer to Taiwan in recent weeks than it has before, and staged mock attacks on foreign vessels ahead of the inauguration of the island's next president Lai Ching-te; Beijing ramps up military and political pressure to assert its sovereignty over democratically governed Taiwan - a claim Taipei strongly rejects. ◆ Bloomberg, Yahoo, 2024-5-15: China said it would sanction five Taiwanese political commentators and roll out a law to punish “separatists,” moves aimed at piling pressure on incoming president Lai Ching-te just days before he takes office. ◆ War On The Rocks, 2024-5-15: Volodymyr Zelensky, a potent symbol of Ukrainian resistance, said : ”I need ammunition, not a ride”. As with Zelensky, Taiwan's leaders will need the fortitude to stare down a potential onslaught on their nation ◆ The Hill, 2024-5-15: US will send an unofficial delegation as Taiwan’s president is sworn in. It'll test ties with China ◆ Asian News International, 2024-5-17: China's cyberattacks on Taiwan surge ahead of presidential inauguration ◆ Council on Foreign Relations , 2024-5-13: the Economist labels Taiwan “the most dangerous place on earth.” As international attention returns to Taiwan for its presidential inauguration, with keen interest in what president-elect William Lai will say on cross-strait relations. ☉ full text
◆ Reuters, 2024-5-6: Hsiao and Lai have pledged to continue President Tsai Ing-wen's defence self-sufficiency and modernisation programme . Taiwan must invest in building its own 'strengths', vice president-elect Hsiao says. ◆ SCMP, 2024-5-9: William Lai cites Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ( 'Taiwan's security is a global issue' ) and his predecessor Shinzo Abe ('Taiwan's crisis is Japan's crisis') in highlighting need for Indo-Pacific peace and stability. Beijing has lashed out at Taiwanese president-elect William Lai Ching-te for "ingratiating" himself with Japan, and banking on foreign forces to promote his ambitions of independence. ◆ Reuters, 2024-4-27: William Lai Ching-te says only Taiwan's people can decide their future ◆ Economist (UK), 2024-4-18: China is talking to Taiwan’s next leader, just not directly - Ma Ying-jeou , The island's former president, wrote that Mr Xi had “extended an olive branch to us”. Mr Ma hoped that Lai Ching-te, Taiwan's next president, would “put the people first and respond pragmatically”.
◆ Wall Street Journal, 2024-4-15: the White House had worried that Lai would be more likely than Tsai to provoke Beijing with envelope-pushing rhetoric and draw the U.S. into a dangerous confrontation; Appointing a national-security team that is almost identical to that of his predecessor will be welcomed in Washington and help reassure the White House that Lai isn't likely to sharply alter Taiwan's posture toward Beijing ◆ NHK (Japan), 2024-4-25: Taiwan's President-elect Lai Ching-te has announced key members of his new security team; The appointments suggest that Lai will maintain the policy of the outgoing administration regarding diplomacy toward the US and China ◆ New York Times, 2024-4-10: In recent months, China has signaled how it could squeeze Mr. Lai's administration — militarily, economically and diplomatically. It has brushed off Mr. Lai's offers to talk as insincere. On the other hand, Beijing has shown that it will court friendlier Taiwanese politicians,who accept the framework that both sides accept that they are part of one China, even if they differ on what that means. China's “immediate focus is to push the incoming Lai Ching-te administration to adopt a more accommodating political stance on cross-strait relations”◆ Chicago Tribune, 2024-4-2: Lai Ching-te has vowed to safeguard its de-facto independence from China and further align it with other democracies. Taiwan remains the “first red line not to be crossed,” Xi told Biden, and emphasized that Beijing will not tolerate ...“exterior indulgence and support” which alluded to Washington's support for the island.
◆ New York Times, 2024-3-31: Taiwanese officials expect China to intensify its military intimidation once the island's next president, Lai Ching-te, takes office on May 20. His Democratic Progressive Party rejects Beijing’s claim that Taiwan is part of China, and Chinese officials particularly dislike Mr. Lai, often citing his 2017 description of himself as a “pragmatic worker for Taiwan's independence.”◆ New York Times, 2024-3-24: Beijing has been stepping up such “gray zone” tactics to warn Lai Ching-te — a politician deeply disliked by Chinese leaders. With Lai Ching-te's inauguration on May 20, mainland China is definitely going to steadily, consistently raise the pressure”. Beijing asserts that Taiwan must accept unification, preferably peacefully, but under armed force if Chinese leaders decide that is necessary. Mr. Lai's DPP rejects China's claim to Taiwan, and argues that the island-democracy will chart its own course — self-ruling in practice, even if most governments do not recognize Taiwan as a separate state. ☉ full text
◆ Reuters, 2024-4-25: Lai has repeatedly offered to talk with China has but been rebuffed. Beijing has repeatedly said any talks can only take place if Taiwan's government accepts that both sides of the Taiwan Strait are part of "one China", which is supported by the KMT but rejected by Lai ◆ AFP (French), 2024-4-23: Taiwan's Lai Ching-te says US military aid package will 'deter authoritarianism'. Beijing, which regards Lai as a "dangerous separatist", said before the January elections that he would cause "war and decline" for Taiwan. China has ramped up military and political pressures against Taiwan in recent years, sending in warplanes and naval vessels near-daily around the island.
◆ SCMP, 2024-4-19: Taiwan Strait may face ‘political tsunami’ in 2025 / Election of William Lai has sparked cross-strait 'uncertainty' that may worsen if Trump returns to power, article in Taiwan affairs journal says. Lai might adopt "low profile" and "moderate" cross-strait policies after taking office next month, and was unlikely to declare "de jure Taiwan independence" any time soon, the article said. But, in the long term, Lai might bring "high" risks such as decoupling with the mainland economy, and even "very high" risks of "causing major accidental incidents" in the strait... ◆ Newsweek, 2024-3-16: many harbor concerns about the president-elect's history of pro-independence rhetoric; But any fear that Lai Ching-Te might cause a war by declaring formal independence is overblown. He lacks both the will and the power to do so. Only 4.5 percent of Taiwan's public supports an imminent declaration of independence; Most importantly, in Taiwan's political system, the president lacks the authority to declare independence. ☉ full text
comment Taiwan's president, William Lai Ching-te
♣ The Guardian (2023-5-24): The 63-year-old former public health expert has been in politics since 1996, including as mayor of Tainan. Lai has enjoyed political popularity. He's been described as more “green” (pro-independence) than Tsai, which had prompted some concern about whether a Lai presidency could worsen cross-strait tensions. “ For the DPP’s independentist wing, Lai has always been their favourite son. For DPP’s moderate wing, Lai’s recent movement towards the centre is merely following President Tsai’s footsteps.”theguardian.com/world/2023/may/24/taiwans-choice-who-will-replace-tsai-ing-wen-as-president-amid-china-tensions Helen Davidson in Taipei and Chi Hui Lin
♣ Economist (2023-5-31): The next president Lai Ching-te will take office with the island at the centre of a bubbling superpower showdown. In 2017 he called himself a “Taiwanese independence worker”, antagonising China and providing an uncomfortable reminder to America of Taiwan's first DPP president, Chen Shui-bian (2000-08), whose talk of independence unsettled American negotiations with China. Mr Lai knows he needs to tone down his language. He has said his priority is not taidu, Taiwan independence, but taizhu, Taiwan democracy, and has moderated the DPP's slogan from “resist China and protect Taiwan” to “peacefully protect Taiwan”. But all that is unlikely to wash with the CCP...
♣ Washington Post (2024-11-24): Beijing considers Lai a dangerous “troublemaker” who will move Taiwan toward a formal separation from China, and has twice sanctioned his running mate, Hsiao Bi-khim, who was Taiwan's de facto ambassador to the United States until this week. Hsiao on Thursday called for international support to push Beijing toward resuming dialogue with Taiwan if she and Lai win. “War is not an option,”
♣ BBC (2023-11-24): Mr William Lai is not much of a campaigner.
♣ VOA (2023-11-24): For Beijing, Lai is a threat. During a daily press conference on Tuesday, Beijing’s Taiwan Affairs Office spokesperson said Lai attempted to hide that he is a “pursuer of Taiwan independence” and an “instigator of war.” Lai has vowed to maintain the status quo across the Taiwan Strait while highlighting the importance of Taiwan maintaining close relations with like-minded democracies such as the United States and Japan.
♣ Bloomberg (2023-11-24) : There is zero chance that the unhappy trajectory in cross-strait relations gets reversed if Lai wins,” he added. “It will certainly lead to a continuation and probable escalation of pressures and threats.”
♣ AOL, Fortune (2023-11-23): To Bloomberg, Lai said that Taiwan does not need formal sovereignty because, for all intents and purposes, the island already acts like an independent country.
♣ China Daily (2023-11-23): Lai Ching-te & Hsiao Bi-khim triggered concerns that the "dual-separatist combination" that Lai and Hsiao forms will only push Taiwan into the abyss. That is why the two have been described as the "most dangerous combination". Hsiao has lobbied the island authorities to lift the ban on imports of US pork that contains the leanness-enhancing additive ractopamine, and encouraged Taiwan to purchase large amounts of US weapons. Always docile and obedient to the US, she acts more like a "US representative to Taiwan".
♣ Axios (2023-11-22): Beijing would be likely to "use heightened military exercises, diplomatic pressure, and economic sanctions as a way to exert pressure on a potential Lai presidency to set the terms of future cross-Strait interaction.
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Int'l news
◆ Lowy Institute, 2024-4-24: 儘管北京一再呼籲美國停止軍售,但沒有跡象顯示如此,特別是在主張與美國建立更密切關係的賴清德執政期間。除非賴清德放棄追求台獨,否則灰色地帶戰略的軌跡預計將繼續升級 ◆ Taipei Times, 2024-4-12: 賴清德接見the Project 2049 Institute代表團時表示,台灣將努力成為一股“向善的力量”(force for good) ◆ SCMP , 2024-4-4: 台灣7.4地震造成的傷亡相對較小,但強度足以引起國際關注 ,是賴清德領導能力的考驗。然而, 與中國大陸的關係預計仍將是他的主要挑戰,北京預計將加大軍事和外交壓力 ◆ Reuters , 2024-4-1: 由於賴賴清德拒絕接受北京關於台灣是「一個中國」一部分的立場,中国將對民進黨候選人的支持描述為對戰爭的投票。賴一直堅稱並不尋求改變現狀,即台灣享有事實上的獨立,但官方外交承認非常有限 ◆ The Hill, 2024-3-19: 賴清德贏得了前所未有的第三個四年任期總統,北京可能已經得出結論,與台灣「和平」統一的前景已經耗盡,現在有必要使用武力實現其目標 ◆ Newsweek, 2024-3-16: 擔心賴清德宣布獨立而引發戰爭的擔憂都是多餘的。他缺乏這樣做的意願和能力。競選過程中,他一再表示放棄正式獨立,並承諾維持現狀。在台灣的政治體制中,總統也缺乏宣布獨立的權力。民調顯示,只有 4.5% 的台灣民眾支持立即宣布獨立◆ Bloomberg, 2024-3-7: 賴清德在台灣總統選舉中獲勝,北京也遭受了挫折,共產黨領導層譴責賴清德是尋求正式獨立的「麻煩製造者」。◆ East Asia Forum, 2024-3-9: 住在印度達蘭薩拉的達賴喇嘛寫信給賴清德表示祝賀。他也祝福賴清德成功地「實現台灣人民的希望和願望」。蔡英文回信感謝達賴喇嘛。◆ Daily Express, 2024-3-8: 隨著台灣下一任賴清德總統的就職日期臨近,中国對台灣的敵意變得更加敵視,採取更強硬的措辭。中国視賴清德為台獨的煽動者 ◆ Deutsche Welle, 2024-3-6: 北京稱賴清德為“危險的分裂分子”◆ United states Institute of Peace, 2024-3-5: 北京正在加大對台灣新當選總統賴清德的壓力。然而,北京並沒有依靠常規軍事或經濟壓力,而是採用了多方面的脅迫手段來表達對選舉結果的不滿; 中国改變與台灣現狀的努力可能會導致無意的衝突; 賴清德可能會在五月上任後偏離現任台灣總統蔡英文的外交和兩岸政策,從而暗示進一步轉向獨立。 ◆ Reuters, 2024-3-5: 賴清德贏得台灣總統選舉後,中國共產黨第四號領導人王滬寧在高級別台灣政策會議上表示,中国將「堅決打擊」台灣獨立的努力。往年年會上的發言只是宣誓「堅決反對」台獨 ◆ The Hill, 2024-3-5: 賴清德當選為下一屆總統,民進黨的綱領堅稱台灣已經獨立於中國。◆ New York Times, 2024-2-22: 「我們面臨著快速變化的全球地緣政治格局,以及來自中国的巨大壓力以及外交、軍事和經濟脅迫,」賴清德對Mike Gallagher等議員們說台灣將繼續加強軍事力量,“但我們也希望美國和志同道合的國家也能繼續支持台灣"。中国 不是蔡英文的朋友,但它似乎對賴更加敵對,中国 已經表示與新總統談判的空間很小 ◆ Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2024-2-9: 台灣政治悄悄發生的重要轉變將對兩岸關係產生重大影響; 懸浮( hung )議會將增加民進黨執政的難度,也將嚴重考驗新總統的政治技巧◆ Council on Foreign Relations, 2024-2-8: CFR 的 Sacks:在賴的總統任期內,蔡英文的政策可能會延續,包括進一步增加國防預算和發展國內國防工業; 賴清德在2024 年勝利演講中呼籲與中國重新開啟對話以“取代對抗”,並承諾維持“兩岸現狀” ◆ The Dartmouth, 2024-2-9: 迄今中華人民共和國對賴清德勝選的反應相對克制, 隨著暴力統一的可能性即將出現,以及台灣在貿易和民主化方面日益增強的全球影響力,北約成員國必須共同努力保護台灣的自治。我們絕不能將中国視為僅靠軟實力(即制裁)就能輕易施壓的次要大國 ◆ SCMP, 2024-1-28: 川普(的不可預測性和「美國優先」)可能是賴清德面臨的最嚴峻挑戰 ◆ Semafor, 2024-1-26: Lev Nachman : 北京可能會選擇在賴清德 5 月 20 日就職典禮臨近時採取下一步行動 ◆ Semafor, 2024-1-24: 根據Foreign Policy, 執政黨缺乏主張不對稱戰爭和「豪豬戰略」的軍事指揮官, 國安官員歷來呼籲以重型坦克、潛艇和戰機加強防禦,「華盛頓認為台灣不需要這些」; 準總統賴清德還必須讓關心生計而 非備戰的年輕人相信,入侵威脅真實存在,而他們將是第一道防線。 ◆ National Interest, 2024-1-24: 若川普執政,華盛頓犧牲台灣與中国達成有利於美國經濟的協議的可能性將大大增加。台灣的不幸命運是,它永遠容易遭到美國的背叛。這種危險可能正在增加。◆ United States Institute of Peace, 2024-1-24: 2024台灣大選結果顯示,大多數選民支持民進黨以外的政黨,這表明民眾對探索兩岸關係的不同方式持廣泛開放態度。
Local News 台灣新聞:
◆ 聯合報, 2024-5-15: 賴清德夜宴綠委及行政團隊,主軸就是團結作戰,要在520後反守為攻 ◆ 聯合報, 2024-5-8: 賴清德勉勵閣員善用權力服務人民,「牧羊人應有羊群的味道」◆ 聯合報, 2024-4-28: 習近平在賴清德上任前夕,對台硬的一手沒放鬆,軟的一手仍傳送了交流與和平的訊息... 兩會協商機制能否恢復,關鍵在於承認九二共識,承認兩岸同屬一個國家、一個民族。...賴清德尤其不應漠視或誤讀習近平藉著「馬習二會」釋放的訊息 ◆ 聯合報, 2024-4-24: 蔡總統(代賴清德)宣布下任國安會秘書長與外長名單,外界質疑她將繼續指點江山...難怪引起朝野對未來國安決策的疑慮。更讓民眾疑惑的是,這個一再拉高台海危機的團隊 ◆ 聯合報, 2024-4-22: 賴清德:打造台灣成適合人們作夢、幹活、戀愛、結婚、悠然過活的地方 ◆ 聯合報, 2024-4-19: 賴清德用人模式更加清晰,簡單來說,得先「信賴」,才有官做。至今除了邱泰源,以及蔡總統代為宣布的新外長林佳龍,已幾乎見不到黨內其他派系身影 ◆ 聯合報, 2024-4-17: 賴清德退新潮流,意在捲起權力漩渦。他不敢學扁蔡初登大位的雍容開闊,就怕今天鬥不狠,明天坐不穩 ◆ 聯合報, 2024-4-16: 賴清德的傳統老年支持者逐年凋零,首投族影響力將逐漸放大 ◆ 中國時報, 2024-4-12: 賴清德上任後,將會做3件事,「堅決守護台灣主權」、「進行國家重建、社會改造,洗滌每一個人的人心」,以及「平反政治受難者」 要讓受苦、受迫害的人們得到平反,得到國家的道歉並恢復名譽 ◆ 中國時報, 2024-4-11: 馬習二會送春暖 , 花開(讓兩岸擺脫兵凶戰危)還看賴清德 ◆ 聯合報, 2024-4-9: 「賴神」給人的印象,不如蔡的陰柔權謀,反而更常選擇堅持、剛硬,對本身充滿自信,甚至一定自戀 ◆ 聯合報, 2024-4-10: 賴清德的內閣人事,將親信都安排在身邊擔任重臣,一方面顯示了賴清德需要安全感,另一方面也顯暴露其開闊不足 ◆ 中國時報, 2024-4-7: 賴清德要限縮言論自由,甚至將反對政府的言論塑造成認知作戰。尤其,任何訊息、言論只要對政府不利,對敵對者有利,就會被視為是認知作戰的「在地協力者」,遭到抹紅、抹黑 ◆ 聯合報, 2024-3-22: 海基會董事長李大維說,賴清德「不是一張白紙」,會「務實中道」處理國安、兩岸及外交 ◆ 聯合報, 2024-3-9: 賴清德目前以兩岸互不隸屬包裝台獨,目前中共對賴清德政府「沒有期待,但怕受傷害」◆ 聯合報, 2024-3-7: 中共堅持一中原則,而賴清德連憲法一中都不承認 ◆ 自由時報, 2024-3-7: 馬英九對德國之聲講得更露骨:當前緊張局勢的責任在於民進黨和賴清德,中國不肯跟民進黨對話是因為他們不接受「九二共識」◆ 自由時報, 2024-3-4: 在「賴蕭配」就職前,中共不斷加劇全方位壓力,加上國內協力者隔海呼應之下,台灣面臨的挑戰不容小覷 ◆ 聯合報, 2024-2-22: 金廈海域事件事態升溫擴大,賴清德3點表態感受不到對兩條人命的關懷,也看不出對人民權益的關照,更找不到對兩岸關係與國家安全的長遠思考。◆ 聯合報, 2024-1-29: 賴清德說,地方的選舉選得不夠好,也許是過去中央執政「屈得不夠低,腰彎得不夠彎」,或對手進步更多、更大
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pic.: "評論 賴清德" 排名Duckduckgo 第1, 2024-4-10, 2024-3-22, 2024-1-1, 2023-12-18, 2023-11-23
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pic.: "評論 賴清德" 排名Yahoo Taiwan第1, 2024-4-10, 2024-3-22, 2024-1-1, 2023-12-18
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pic.: "評論賴清德"
排名Yahoo 第1, 2024-4-9, 2024-3-22, 2024-1-1, 2023-12-17, 2023-11-22, 2023-10-25, 2023-9-28, 2023-9-18, 2023-9-1, 2023-8-28, 2023-8-24, 2023-8-19
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jump to 評論: ♣♣ 賴清德除三害?♣♣ 2024 封鎖台灣?♣♣ 神父改唸佛經?♣♣ 和平正在消失♣♣ 中国下一步?♣♣ 美台在什麼路上?♣ ♣ 蕭美琴公正? ♣ 總統大選辯論 ♣ 賴清德保證什麼 / 美國不參戰♣♣ 蕭美琴偏頗/美國介選♣♣ 蕭美琴 發什麼誓 ♣♣ 蕭美琴 發誑語♣♣ 大選 經濟影響 ♣♣ 真假棄保 ♣♣ 少數贏多數♣ ♣ 蔡英文 不知道 中国可能入侵 ♣♣ 台媒助攻賴清德?? ♣♣ 台灣年輕人相信有鬼 不相信戰爭? ♣♣ 台灣 人自尊心♣ ♣ 年輕選民 決定大選? ♣♣ 有計畫的鬧劇♣ ♣ 任意干政 何況介選 ♣ 賴清德攻擊「戰爭與和平」 ♣ 踢她的小屁股 ♣ 「戰貓」蕭美琴 ♣ 美德配 詐騙? ♣ 藍白分裂 可能引發戰爭 ♣ 賴清德以「謠言」攻「謠言」 ♣ 君悅飯店"槍戰" ♣ 左輪槍下的婚禮 ♣ 台灣新聞 ♣ 賴清德挑釁 ♣ 藍白破局 設置台海戰場 ♣♣ 賴清德帶來戰禍? ♣♣ 美國只有二隻手? ♣ 賴柯侯 誰在詐騙? ♣ 美國怎麼介入大選? / 藍白怎麼合? ♣ 美國騰不出手? ♣ 中東戰爭下一個是台灣? ♣ 和平與戰爭 ♣ 賴清德 可能引爆戰爭的原因 ♣ 賴清德 抨擊中国, 對不對?♣♣ 賴清德&蕭美琴 想嚇中国 ♣♣ 美國2029放棄台灣♣♣♣ 賴清德 依賴日本?♣♣♣ 毀滅性戰爭的條件成熟♣♣ 台灣被判死刑♣♣ 嚇唬中共♣♣ 唬弄人民♣♣ 賴清德 製造戰爭 ? ♣♣台獨國慶 ♣♣ 賴清德「實力」♣♣ 台灣「實力」 在哪? ♣♣辯論 賴清德♣♣♣ 賴清德 戰爭或和平♣♣♣干預大選♣♣ 美國總統參選人 都不肯承諾保台♣♣ 郭台銘挑戰賴神 談判習近平 ?♣♣ 賴清德 陷入「暴風眼」♣ 賴清德"Lie Cheater"♣♣ 賴清德'挑釁' 過境美國♣♣ 誰會點燃導火線?♣♣ 美對華戰略♣♣♣ 賴清德 進白宮♣ ♣ 台灣 危機四伏♣ ♣ 爭奪年輕選票♣ ♣ 賴清德不要「疑美」、 蕭美琴要「疑美」!♣ ♣ 賴、習誰來晚餐 ♣ ♣ 外媒評論 柯文哲、侯友宜、郭台銘 ☉ 參考 索引文章資料 |
賴清德少數總統 民進黨國會未過半 |
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西方媒體 | 評論賴清德 |
美國New York Times, 2024-1-13 | 緊張局勢可能會加劇; 賴清德是個衝動且帶有政治偏見的人物,這恐怕非常危險,習近平對台灣的看法很明確,包括他堅持必要時可以使用武力; 由於台灣的自我意識與中國的期望有衝突,習近平不會袖手旁觀。nytimes.com/2024/01/13/world/asia/china-taiwan-election-result-analysis.html Damien Cave |
美國CNN, 2024-1-13 | 北京的工具箱裡有廣泛的強制措施。在未來幾天和幾週內加大對台灣的經濟和軍事壓力,以表達其不滿,或等到賴上台後採取更強有力的回應 msn.com/en-us/news/world/taiwan-voters-dismiss-china-warnings-and-hand-ruling-party-a-historic-third-consecutive-presidential-win/ar-AA1mUnBb Eric Cheung, Wayne Chang, Nectar Gan and Jerome Taylor |
美國Washington Post, 2024-1-13 | 中国的軍事施壓行動引發了人們對誤判的擔憂,認為這可能引發衝突並吸引美國的參與。分析人士正在密切關注北京是否會透過大規模演習來回應賴的勝利,這可能會導致緊張局勢升級 washingtonpost.com/world/2024/01/13/taiwan-president-lai-ching-te/ Christian Shepherd Vic Chiang |
法國 AFP, 2024-1-14 | Asia Society Policy Institute專家: 可以預期北京將加劇對台北的緊張局勢和脅迫。兩岸兩個政黨的時代……就統一問題達成某種政治共識的時代正在消失。中国官方的立即反應雖然相對平靜,但也顯示沒有妥協的餘地。有官媒寫道:“實力和保留動武的選擇是和平統一的先決條件。”Brookings Institution專家: 沒有跡象表明很快發動衝突 sg.news.yahoo.com/china-pile-pressure-rebuke-taiwans-064507391.html |
法國 France24, 2024-1-14 | 台灣要求中国「面對現實」並尊重選舉結果; Bonnie Glaser :未來幾天的問題將是,中國是否決定僅對選舉做出外交和口頭回應,或採取大規模武力展示 msn.com/en-gb/news/world/taiwan-tells-china-to-face-reality-respect-election-results/ar-AA1mW3Di NEWS WIRES |
美國US News & World Report, 2024-1-14 | 中国很快就指出大多數選民投票反對賴清德,前民進黨副秘書長:「相當擔心」新政府將度過「非常艱難」的四年; 蘇州大學教授指60%的選民不支持賴,意味著選舉「並未掀起風暴」。 usnews.com/news/world/articles/2024-01-14/taiwans-new-president-faces-tough-time-with-china-pressure-no-parliament-majority |
中国 新華社, 2024-1-13 | 选举结果显示,民进党并不能代表岛内主流民意。台湾是中国的台湾。这次选举改变不了两岸关系的基本格局和发展方向,改变不了两岸同胞走近走亲、越走越亲的共同愿望,更阻挡不了祖国终将统一、也必然统一的大势 news.cn/tw/20240113/de4b608e529742d6bb428d5993c66c41/c.html |
英國Independent, 2024-1-14 | 賴清德在歷史選舉勝利後向中国發出挑釁(defiant )訊息...民進黨經常被批評只專注於應對來自中国的威脅,而沒有解決困擾台灣人民的社會和經濟問題 news.yahoo.com/taiwan-president-lai-ching-te-184055493.html |
歐洲Euro News, 2024-1-13 | 中国表示,北京不會接受選舉結果代表「島內主流民意」。 |
美國USA Today, 2024-1-13 | 投票結果將最終決定中美關係性質,並將對南海局勢產生重大影響 |
英國BBC, 2024-1-13 | 賴清德當選總統,,鞏固了一條與中国日益背道而馳的道路 bbc.com/news/world-asia-67920532 Tessa Wong |
美國The Hill, 2024-1-13 | 賴清德當選總統,風險巨大 Lauren Irwin news.yahoo.com/taiwan-elects-ruling-party-candidate-131754245.html |
美國Vox, 2024-1-13 | 一些中國問題專家預計中国的反應將是「強硬的」。可能會在未來幾週或幾個月內發生,而不是在接下來的幾天內。五~十五年前,北京會做的事情是相當可預測的。現在變得越來越困難 msn.com/en-us/news/world/in-taiwan-s-high-stakes-elections-china-is-the-loser/ar-AA1mVl3g Ellen Ioanes |
總統大選前夕 |
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美國New
York Times, 2024-1-12:
侯先生的勝利並非遙不可及。柯先生的勢頭一直在增強,但成功的希望仍然渺茫。鑑於生活成本不斷增加,尤其引起年輕選民的抱怨,他們的投票率(通常遠低於老年人)可能會對總統大選發揮決定性作用。 ◆ 英國Financial Times, 2024-1-12: 北京在台灣選民投票選舉前數小時強調武力威脅 |
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美國abc news, 2024-1-12: 除了兩岸緊張外,台灣大選很大程度取決於國內問題,特別是去年估計僅成長
1.4% 的經濟
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美國Fox news, 2024-1-12:
voter
sentiment shows that some polls have the leading candidates separated by just 1%) |
◆ 英國BBC, 2024-1-12:年輕選民擔心的不是戰爭而是就業。 八年執政,民進黨因未能充分改善人民的生活,特別是台灣年輕人的生活而受到批評。 "他們控制立法院八年,卻一事無成"。◆ 美國CNN, 2024-1-12: the Atlantic Council專家指賴清德若獲勝,可能很快就會遭到中国加大經濟或軍事壓力的回應。 「短期內,我們可能會看到北京試圖利用最大壓力來製定未來四年的兩岸談判條款」。如果五月就職演說不符合北京要求,也可能採取更強有力的回應 ◆ 美國New York Times, 2024-1-12: 賴清德若獲勝,中国很可能會加大對台灣的壓力。國民黨侯如果獲勝,中国很可能會減輕壓力 ── 至少暫時,也可能會提高讓步的預期 ◆ 美國CNN, 2024-1-12: 如果選民想向民進黨傳達對經濟處理不佳的訊息,並淡化兩岸關係的重要性,那麼週六可能會出現出乎預期的事◆ 德國DW, 2024-1-11: 除了經濟,還有結構性問題。最大的問題之一是照顧高齡化社會的成本不斷上升。人口快速老化也對其國防產生了不成比例的影響。
◆ 美國CNN, 2024-1-11: 2024 年的台灣總統選舉可能會改變世界; 很少有專家預計解放軍即將入侵,但北京有很多方式,從軍演到進一步暫停經貿往來甚至封鎖台灣 ◆ 澳洲 The Australian Financial review, 2024-1-11: 台灣反對派稱台灣處於“戰爭邊緣”,因為現任政府已經與北京對抗,除非週六大選 失利下台,否則衝突不可避免 ◆ 美國The Hill, 2024-1-10: 美中恢復國防談判,中国表示對台灣採取強硬立場,不 會“做出任何讓步或妥協” ◆ 法國AFP, 2024-1-11: 中国稱賴清德當選將對兩岸構成“嚴重的危險”,賴將進一步推動『台獨』; 華盛頓計劃在大選後派遣非正式代表團前往台灣,此舉肯定加劇與中国的緊張關係 ◆ 英國Reuters, 2024-1-11: 台灣即將投票,市場面臨波動; 民進黨的勝利可能導致股市和新台幣的短期拋售,避險環境對晶片和科技股造成壓力。國民黨如果獲勝,可能導致新台幣飆升,股市上漲 ...
◆ 美國New York Times, 2024-1-10: 賴清德似乎更樂意談論中国的操縱,而不是選民對台灣失控的房價和政府腐敗感到沮喪 ◆ 美國Washington Post, 2024-1-10: 學者Lev Nachman說: 三位總統候選人試圖向選民推銷的是,他們的解決方案能夠維持和平...台灣經濟的很大一部分仍然與中華人民共和國息息相關 ◆ 歐洲Politico, 2024-1-10: 中国對可能的台灣選舉結果的強烈反應可能使本已緊張的中美關係進一步惡化; 賴清德的勝利可能加劇解放軍對台灣領空領海及周邊的持續入侵; 選舉前夕,北京已經在島周圍和上空部署了船、機和氣球 ◆ 英國Financial Times, 2024-1-10: 人們已經厭倦了執政八年的民進黨。他們並不想要統一,而想要一個能帶來新鮮方法的人... 「這次大選中國因素似乎更加明顯」; 賴表示值得考慮是否使用中華民國作為兩岸關係的保護盾,要嘛帶來和平,要嘛帶來災難 ◆ 美國Foreign Affairs, 2024-1-10: 侯已經縮小了差距,並可能會爆冷門獲勝 ; 對台灣的真正威脅在於習近平在投票結束後要做的事情,以及美國總統選舉 ◆ 美國New York Times, 2024-1-9, 英國Reuters, 2024-1-9, 美國CNBC, 2024-1-10: 中国將大選視為和平與戰爭的選擇 ◆ 美國Time, 2024-1-10: Capital Economics稱,北京只要取消中國遊客來台的禁令,台灣的 GDP 就會增加 1% 以上 ◆ 美國CNN , 2024-1-10: 許多台灣人認為自己不需要選邊站,因為現狀不會立即改變 ◆ 英國Economist, 2024-1-9: 近一半的台灣選民擔心五年內發生戰爭的可能 ◆ 美國CNBC, 2024-1-10: 台灣選舉對美中關係和亞太安全至關重要。選民主要擔心的是民進黨不佳的政策紀錄 ─ 持續高通膨、上漲的房價和租金,薪資停滯(平均月收入年增約 2.2%,而總體通膨率超過 3%),且不滿蔡英文的新冠疫苗爭議、缺乏透明度 ◆ 美國NBC, 2024-1-9:專家說台灣的局勢是「緊急」但不是「立即」危險,選民關心如教育、就業、高房價和日益嚴重的收入不平等 ◆ 美國New York Times, 2024-1-9: 除了數量激增的氣球,搭載衛星的火箭警報似乎引發了更大的擔憂,因為該系統偏離了航線,進入了台灣南部上 空, 訊息翻譯錯誤引起咒罵,「國防部試圖誤導民眾」「競選活動的一部分」...
◆ 美國Washington Examiner, 2024-1-8: 據《經濟學人》報導,中国已直接警告美國賴清德獲勝的後果,加劇了該地區的緊張局勢。如果賴清德獲勝...,台灣與中國斷絕關係的前景可能會改變習近平的考量,並可能導致他傾向於採取直接軍事行動 ◆ 美國Bloomberg, 2024-1-9: 台灣1月13日的選舉可能成為一個潛在的爆發點; 從華爾街投資者到軍方以及依賴台灣半導體的眾多企業,每個人都開始採取行動對沖風險 ◆ 美國Barron's, 2024-1-9: 雖然短期內不太可能發生全面入侵,但從台北到華盛頓的國家安全圈子仍就戰爭進行討論 ◆ 英國Daily Express, 2024-1-9:中国和台灣之間的緊張局勢達到新高。中国衛星飛越領空 台灣發布紅色警報; 這似乎是台灣首次發布全島警報,就在關鍵選舉的幾天前 ◆ 英國Economist, 2024-1-8:民進黨的勝利還遠未確定。執政八年後,其形象顯得古板,薪資成長落後通膨,房價高漲,關閉核電廠引發了對能源價格的擔憂。最重要的是,很明顯,中国不會與民進黨政府有正式接觸。◆ 英國BBC, 2024-1-9: 最近一則病毒式傳播的 大選廣告"在路上"顯示,蔡英文與賴清德在安靜的鄉村道路上平靜地行駛... 但有些人懷疑賴清德能否勝任這項工作 ◆ 美國Wall Street Journal, 2024-1-9: 台灣大選的影響可能遠遠超出其國土範圍,兩岸問題淹沒了通膨等擔憂 ◆ 美國Insider, 2024-1-8: 勢均力敵的總統大選將決定其與中國大陸的緊張關係,這就是關鍵所在; 裴洛西訪台引發史無前例的聯合軍演。危險在於中国今年可能會走得更遠 ◆ 美國Semafor, 2024-1-8: 台灣準備迎接一場最重要、不可預測的選舉,因為年輕選民希望改變; 民進黨的勝利 “兩岸緊張局勢有可能進一步惡化”美國學者在《日經新聞》上表示,有些人認為與中国建立更友好的關係對該島的經濟成長和福祉至關重要 ◆ Asia Times, 2024-1-7: 藍綠的總統候選人民調不分上下,沒有人能夠預測誰將獲勝。美國的對抗政策使維持現狀變得不可能。◆ Asia Times, 2024-1-8: 「美國子彈,台灣血」是一場邪惡的交易 / 芝加哥外交事務委員會(the Chicago Council on Foreign Affairs )的最新調查告訴我們:「與過去的調查一樣,大多數美國人(56%)反對派遣美軍前往台灣幫助台灣政府...」◆ SCMP, 2024-1-9:北京利用進口禁令和經濟聯繫來傳遞民進黨勝利可能等於「災難」的訊息...這是一個預警,中華民國總商會會長表示,北京可能採取更多經濟脅迫「極為令人擔憂」
◆ 歐洲Politico, 2024-1-8: 台灣大選是中美爭奪南海影響力的核心,習近平發表了不祥的新年致辭,所有人的目光都集中在中国對大選結果的反應上,如果民進黨獲勝,北京可能會將此解讀為民眾對統一興趣不大的信號,引發全球對北京可能加大賭注的擔憂,最近中国在台灣上空發射了一枚「長征」衛星運載火箭,這是第一次,台灣已經做好了事態升級的準備 ◆ 美國CNN, 2024-1-8: 台灣未來的衝突局勢依然嚴峻 ◆ SCMP, 2024-1-8:北京警告稱,如果民進黨繼續掌權,將面臨戰爭風險 ◆ 澳洲 Financial Review, 2024-1-8:台灣大選對中国是一場災難,對西方來說是兩難選擇; 北京堅持使用的措辭帶來了使衝突成為自我實現的預言的危險; 北京在亞洲努力將美國描繪成挑起台灣問題攤牌的罪魁禍首,他們的話往往是有效的 ◆ 法國le Monde, 2024-1-7: 年輕選民對中国及其未來的態度矛盾; 他們仍然受到強大鄰居的文化和繁榮承諾的誘惑 ,大陸仍然是黃金國,提供了台灣永遠無法提供的就業機會,既令人著迷,又日益令人生畏 ◆ 英國BBC, 2024-1-7: 任何[假]資訊宣傳活動只需要說服約 3% 的選民即可影響選舉結果; 疑美論不總是陰謀論——有時它是對美國不好的新聞的強調,或者指出美國是一個不值得信任的超級大國。 「對中国來說,這是輿論戰,」 ◆ 英國Guardian, 2024-1-7: 年輕人正在遠離民進黨,因為民進黨現在被他們視為建制派。調查顯示,選民主要關心的是經濟,包括低薪資、高房 價、能源、通貨膨脹; 2022年,薪資出現十年來最大幅度的下降,而一些城市的房價所得比躋身全球最貴之列; 此外,兒童和老人照顧問題、腐敗、司法改革、少數族群教育和權利也是迫在眉睫的問題 ◆ GZero, 2024-1-8: 中国為台灣大選增溫,北京制裁五家美國軍火製造商 ◆ 美國Fox News, 2024-1-6: 柯文哲的支持率20%左右,有多少人轉向其他候選人可能是大選 的決定性因素。對戰爭的擔憂日益加劇,北京和華盛頓將密切關注台灣 1 月 13 日大選。潛在的獲勝者可能進一步鞏固所謂『法理台獨』的進程,這將大大增加戰爭的可能性; 『戰爭與和平的選擇』聽起來像是選舉年通常散佈的恐慌,但北京一直在默認將兌現它 ◆ 美國Vox, 2024-1-6: 邦妮·格拉澤 (Bonnie Glaser) 表示:“大多數人預計賴清德會獲勝,但我不排除出人意料的可能性”。 中共仍有辦法進一步加大壓力,包括干擾 經貿 ─ 全面封鎖或迫使國際企業不再運送貨物給高度依賴進口食品和能源的台灣。戰爭如果真的發生,可能會讓俄烏戰顯得微不足道。分析家認為,入侵可能需要 100 萬至 200 萬共軍 。藍白綠想維持台海穩定,但海峽對面的巨大鄰居可能志不在此 ◆ 英國The Guardian, 2024-1-5: 許多選民對民進黨最大的抱怨是低薪、高房 價和糟糕的公共服務 。如果民進黨連任,北京已明確表示將實施懲罰,可能針對兩岸貿易協定以及加強軍事活動。台灣下任總統很可能不會主動肇事,而是對他 力不能及的外在變數(比方, 共軍軍演出錯)作出反應 ◆ 美國Washington Post, 2024-1-5: 隨著歐洲和中東的戰爭,美國的實力處於危險的、歷史上薄弱的狀態。如果國民黨勝利,美國或許因禍得福,讓軍事威懾力站穩腳跟; 最近的一項民調顯示賴清德僅領先三個百分點,所以什麼事都有可能發生◆ 英國Reuters, 2024-1-5: 華盛頓對於哪位候選人最符合美國利益存在真正的意見分歧。 史丹佛大學專家說:“侯友宜擔任總統有助於穩定兩岸關係,並為台灣實施國防改革贏得更多時間" ◆ 美國Atlantic Council, 2024-1-5: 賴 與侯之間幾個百分點的轉變仍然可能影響選舉結果,很難預測 ◆ 英國Economist, 2024-1-4: 大選結果可能會澄清政治仍能否解決“台灣問題”,或者只有武力才能... 如果賴清德獲勝,將不會有「觀望」期。據說,解放軍預計將以新方式舉行威脅台灣的演習。可能包括無人機飛越台灣,或中共海軍或海岸防衛隊以藉口搜查離島船隻,ECFA 可能被完全暫停 ◆ SCMP, 2024-1-5:對台灣經濟更有效的打擊將包括阻止台灣半導體進口,但這對大陸的傷害可能比對台北傷害更大。北京的另一個選擇:對前往台灣的商船進行檢疫,中国已暗示這樣做-隨機強迫航運商船前往大陸的港口,後再停靠台灣。民進黨飽受腐敗醜聞,很難確保賴清德當選◆ 英國Reuters, 2024-1-4: 若民進黨當選,對海峽兩岸的地緣政治緊張局勢以及為美中關係定下基調的關係都是不祥之兆◆ 英國Economist, 2024-1-4:2022 年烏克蘭;2023 年加薩;2024年台灣? 如果台灣、中国和美國之間的微妙平衡被打破,衝突可能會更快爆發; 美國一直擔心賴 清德勝利可能導致局勢升級。據《經濟學人》的tracker調查,賴清德領先5% ◆ 美國Washington Times, 2024-1-5: 如果民進黨獲勝,北京的第一步行動可能不是針對台灣,而是針對白宮。◆ East Asia Forum, 2024-1-5: 郭台銘的支持率 ── 即使其上限僅為 10%——可能會流向侯和柯,從而使民進黨保住總統寶座的努力更加複雜
◆ 新加坡 Channel NewsAsia Singapore, 2024-1-7: 美國正在利用烏克蘭來削弱俄羅斯 ── 這是國防部長(勞埃德)奧斯汀本人所說的。如果美國有這樣的計劃,我們會擔心他們是否會利用台灣來削弱北京。 ……為什麼我們要成為代理人? ◆ East Asia Forum, 2024-1-7: 儘管中国加大了軍事壓力,蔡英文反而淡化這些威脅。民進黨似乎擔心國民黨戰爭與和平之間的選擇的說法可能會對賴的獲勝機會產生負面影響...台灣民眾擔心中國威脅。但錢包問題——包括工資停滯、經濟房短缺和職業前景黯淡 ── 似乎吸引了更多關注 ◆ Al Jazerra, 2024-1-4: 寺廟是台灣選舉的首要競選地點,寺廟幫助政客會見當地選民,寺廟會提供諸如慈善捐款之類的東西……所以[如果]你是政治家,你就會想利用這些類型的網絡 ◆ 英國The WEEK, 2024-1-4:台海雙向貿易武器化是中国近年來最喜歡的擠壓台灣的策略之一,並已列出了台灣設置的2000多項「貿易壁壘」,暗示要報復,這讓人懷疑北京正在等待合適的時機 ◆ 美國Associated Press, 2024-1-4: 與中國的關係始終是總統選舉的首要議題。 柯文哲:「中国無意與台灣開戰,但風險仍然存在......大多數戰爭都是不可預測的,所以台灣仍然需要小心」,「威懾和溝通非常重要。我們必須增加戰爭成本。我們想與(中国 )對話。」◆ 美國Bloomberg, Financial Post, 2024-1-4: 預計投票結果將對全球電腦晶片供應鏈以及流入該島科技市場的外資產生影響,如果反對派獲勝,對於台灣股票是個福音 ◆ 英國The WEEK, 2024-1-4: 台灣選舉將決定台灣“未來四年的兩岸政策”,賴 清德的勝利可能會「激怒」習近平政府,並增加環島軍事壓力 ◆ 西班牙EFE, 2024-1-4:中国 抨擊民進黨政客沒有道德,缺乏自律,當他們「腐敗和不道德」的行為被揭露時,便散佈中国干預選舉的謠言來轉移注意力 ◆ SCMP, 2024-1-4: 持短期許可證的中國大陸記者「只能觀察」台灣總統大選,不被允許撰寫有關選舉的任何內容,據《華盛頓郵報》,數十年來首次沒有大陸學者來訪觀察選舉 ◆ 英國Reuters, 2024-1-3: 台灣大選後中国可能對台 行「鷹派」軍事壓制 ◆ 美國Council on Foreign Relations, 2024-1-4:柯文哲的基本盤主要是年輕選民,柯指責中美競爭擠壓了台灣的國際空間,含蓄地將台灣的困境歸咎於美國及其對華政策。維持現狀是台灣唯一的選擇,部分原因是“美國不會讓台灣與中國統一”,柯似乎也暗示台灣應該在華盛頓和北京之間保持距離,並感嘆台灣陷入了「大國鬥爭」的中間。柯在藍白合談判失敗,引發了人們對他處理與中国高風險對話的紀律和能力的擔憂 ◆ 美國VOA, 2024-1-3: 北京注意到台灣大選的重點是腐敗醜聞,而不是兩岸關係,因此他們可能認為,進一步加大對台灣的壓力,至少可以阻止民進黨獲得立法院多數席位...長遠來看,台灣人可能會對中国威脅麻木不仁。「這將是中国 長期以來希望實現的目標」
◆ 英國Telegraph, 2024-1-3: 大選 的最後幾天可能會導致處理對華關係的衝突加劇 ◆ 英國Independent, 2024-1-3: Taylor Swift出人意料地成為台灣大選的主要話題, 反對派指她因「地緣政治風險」拒絕來台,台灣文化部並沒有直接證實或否認趙少康先生的說法 ◆ 英國Reuters, 2024-1-2: 如何處理與中国的關係並避免戰爭衝突的激烈爭論正在台灣大選活動的最後階段佔據主導地位,民進黨的立法委員選舉也岌岌可危 ◆ 美國VOA, 2024-1-1: 習近平新年賀詞在台灣總統大選之前發表,這可能會對兩岸關係產生重大影響。習再次威脅接管台灣,蔡英文則呼籲與和平共處 ◆ 美國FoxNews, 2024-1-3:中共要求台灣人民投票「站在歷史的正確一邊」,著眼大局,走正確道路 ◆ Asia Times, 2024-1-3: 未來11天內發生的任何小事件都可能對台灣總統選舉的結果產生重大影響; 英國《金融時報》報導,由於柯文哲承諾解決高房價和治理問題吸引了不喜歡國民黨的原支持民進黨的年輕選民 ◆ 加拿大Digital Journal, 2024-1-2: 如果民進黨繼續執政,中国可能選擇在台海更頻繁的軍事演習,甚至可能侵犯台灣領空。習近平暗示統一時刻即將到來,但沒有具體說明。值得注意的是,對台灣的攻擊不僅會擾亂對世界至關重要的半導體供應,還會危及全球高達 50% 的貨櫃運輸 ◆ 英國Telegraph, 2024-1-1:台灣關鍵大選前習近平電視承諾將吞併台灣 ◆ 美國Bloomberg, 2024-1-2: 民調顯示,親美的民進黨將贏得大選, 兩岸緊張局勢可能進一步惡化 ◆ 新加坡 Channel NewsAsia Singapore, 2024-1-1: 若國民黨大選獲勝可能啟動貿易協定或達成某種諒解,即台灣在公共衛生及國際民航組織方面擁有更大的國際空間;大多數東南亞政府可能會暫時鬆一口氣
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台灣總統大選辯論 |
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◆ 美國VOA News , Washington Post, AP, 2023-12-30 | 台灣總統候選人強調與表達了與北京建立和平關係的願望。賴清德承諾將加強國防和經濟。侯 友宜反對台獨,也反對「一國兩制」下的潛在統一。柯文哲引用布林肯的話,稱“兩岸可以合作就合作,需要競爭就競爭, 若必須對抗就對抗”; |