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the pages: intro travel food Taiwan economy diplomatic Taiwan military human right in TW soft power identity women education medical personality judiciary white terror |
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intro. of Taiwan |
♦♣♣ Taiwan-China conflicts ♣♣♣ Taiwan has reasons to worry Trump ♣♣♣♣Trump's tariffs, trade war ♦♣♣ ♣a divided, fractured Taiwan♦♣♣♣ Spy war with China ♣♣♣ Taiwan's largest drills ♣♦♣♣ ♣Taiwan's defense♣♣♣ US won't defend Taiwan ♣♦♣♣ "Zero Day" - a preview of China invasion♦
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No.1
"introduction of Taiwan"
on Yandex of Russia, 2025-11-11, 2025-11-1, 2025-10-30, 2025-10-10, 2025-10-1, 2025-9-21, 2025-9-1, 2025-8-23, 2025-8-17, 2025-8-9, 2025-7-28, 2025-6-22, 2025-5-31, 5-20, 2025-5-11, 2025-4-27, 2025-4-13, 2025-3-30, 2025-3-3, 2025-2-22, 2025-2-16, 2025-1-1, 2024-12-31, 2024-12-25, 2024-12-24, 2024-12-14, 2024-9-15, 2024-5-12, 2024-4-14, 2024-3-15, 2024-2-28, 2024-2-3, 2024-1-1, 2023-12-29, 2023-12-24, 2023-11-11, 2023-11-1; No.1
"introduction to Taiwan"
at 2022-7-31, 2022-7-7, 2022-7-1, 2022-6-24, 2022-6-15,
2022-6-12, 2022-5-26, 2022-5-14, 2022-4-30, 2022-3-14, 2021-12-27, 2021-12-4, 2021-11-21, 2021-10-21;
pic. : No.1 "introduction to Taiwan" on Yandex of Russia (largest engine in Russia) at 2025-11-11, 2025-11-1, 2025-10-30, 2025-10-10, 2025-10-1, 2025-9-21, 2025-9-1, 2025-8-23, 2025-8-17, 2025-8-9, 2025-5-11, 2025-4-27, 2025-3-30, 2025-3-3, 2025-2-22, 2025-2-16, 2025-2-4, 2025-1-1, 2024-12-31, 2024-12-25, 2024-12-24, 2024-12-14, 2024-5-20, 2024-5-12, 2024-5-1, 2024-4-14, 2024-3-15, 2024-2-28, 2024-2-3, 2024-1-1, 2023-12-29, 2023-9-1, 2023-8-22, 2023-8-8, 2023-7-25, 2023-7-1, 2023-5-31, 2023-4-30, 2023-3-31, 2022-9-5, 2022-8-21, 2022-8-8; No.2 at 2025-7-28; This websites group was ranked top "introduction to Taiwan" on Yandex of Russia, 2024-12-2, 2024-10-28, 2024-10-15, 2024-8-31, 2024-8-8, 2024-7-11
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| ◆ Financial Times, 2025-11-13 | Takaichi's remark on Taiwan implied that Tokyo could take military action without being attacked itself. But the prime minister's focus on the domestic economy would starkly highlight Japan’s heavy reliance on Chinese manufacturing and the Chinese market as a driver of its own economic strength. | ||||
| ◆ Washington Post, 2025-11-12 | The diplomatic spat between China and Japan's new prime minister took a turn for the worse when an influential Chinese state media outlet said Sanae Takaichi may have to “pay a price” for her comments on Taiwan. | ||||
| ◆ L.A. Times, 2025-11-10 | Japan and China exchange barbs after PM Takaichi's remarks over Taiwan — a Chinese attack on Taiwan could constitute “a survival-threatening situation" for Japan requiring the use of force. Her response was seen as deviating from her predecessors' remarks and triggering a controversy that caused her to backpedal later and pledge that her remarks were within the previous official line. | ||||
| ◆ Kyodo News (Japan), 2025-11-10 |
“Taiwan's situation has become serious. We must assume the worst-case scenario,” Takaichi
said in parliament. Japan's 2015 landmark security legislation has enabled the country, under
certain conditions such as a "survival-threatening situation," to exercise the
right to collective self-defense, or to defend allies even in cases when it is
not directly attacked. ps: the Asahi Shimbun reported that Takaichi stated that she would be more careful when broaching the topic in the future. |
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| ◆ National Interest, 2025-11-5 | Taiwan's TTX 2025 exercises to simulate — First, the PLA would capture the outlying islands, then blockade the Taiwan island. After that, PLA would launch sweeping attacks against Taiwan's east coast—cities like Hualien, Taitung, and Yilan—and seize the island of Penghu. | ||||
| ◆ CNN, 2025-11-4 | China warns the US to avoid crossing four sensitive “red lines” — Taiwan, democracy and human rights, political path and system, and right to development, the most prominent of which is Taiwan | ||||
| ◆ Fox News, 2025-11-1 | Trump and Xi skip Taiwan talk despite years of war preparations.For now, both leaders appear content to keep the most volatile issue in their relationship unspoken. The quiet may help avert confrontation in the short term — but it leaves one of the world's most dangerous flashpoints lingering just beneath the surface. | ||||
| ◆ SKY News, Australia, 2025-11-1 | One of Australia’s leading security experts has warned China will ramp up military actions against Taiwan within two years. China’s nuclear weapons program operated outside any international arms control framework, unlike the US and Russia, which remained bound by treaties limiting deployed warheads. | ||||
| ◆ CNN, 2025-10-30 | The Trump administration refused to green-light the transfer of US weapons stocks to Taiwan earlier this year, under a process known as Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA). The move led to questions about the US military’s commitment to Taiwan. There are concerns on Taiwan that Trump’s personal conviction that Xi will not invade while he is in office could impede the US from effectively boosting their military capabilities in the coming years. | ||||
| ◆ Reuters, 2025-10-29 | China says it 'absolutely will not' rule out use of force over Taiwan. One of Xinhua news agency commentaries mapped out how "patriots" could rule the island after "reunification" and promised Taiwan's existing social system and way of life would be respected. | ||||
| ◆ TIME, 2025-10-23 | Were China to launch an all-out invasion, it would undoubtedly start with missile strikes against Taiwan's air bases to neutralize its fighter jets alongside a cyber blitzkrieg targeting communications and key infrastructure. If the U.S. and allies intervened, or made clear preparations to, Chinese missiles would likely target U.S. bases in South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines. Beijing's estimated 300 medium-range ballistic missile launchers—most of whose location is unknown—means they potentially have “the strike capacity to wipe the table clean of U.S. and Japanese bases” . | ||||
| ◆ Washington Examiner, 2025-10-24 |
key aspects of the American economy and
industrial base are reliant on China, providing Beijing with tremendous
leverage. A Sino-American war would be the most devastating conflict since World
War II. Xi has called for
PLA to be able to invade Taiwan by
2027... numerous steps
— boosting military spending to unseen heights, hoarding grain and oil,
building underground hospitals, and fortifying bases — to that end. |
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| ◆ National Interest, 2025-10-24 | Modern wars are about drones, electronic warfare, and hybrid warfare. China's increased drone flights near Taiwan signal both reconnaissance as well as escalation from Beijing. Taiwan is racing to move from reactive to proactive in the drone and electronic warfare domains... But it might not be sufficient to stop the hellfire that is coming their way if things continue deteriorating between Taipei, Beijing, and Washington. | ||||
| ◆ Financial Times, 2025-10-16 |
UAVs, drones either for decapitation attacks or to debilitate Taiwan's
industries, command and control systems, fuel depots. So these are all new
scenarios as well that the Taiwanese side has to adapt to. A naval blockade or quarantine at the moment appears to be a more plausible or likelier scenario because the potential cost to the Chinese side is much lower. |
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| ◆ Wall Street Journal, 2025-10-8 | Beijing could subject vessels serving Taiwan to inspection by declaring a law-enforcement or health action, namely, a quarantine, allowing Beijing to quietly raise pressure on Taipei. Since a blockade is an act of war against an enemy state. A Chinese quarantine would force Taiwan and the U.S. to decide whether to take military action and potentially be accused of starting a war. | ||||
| ◆ Washington Examiner, 2025-10-8 | China says Taiwan president is 'prostituting' himself, after Lai said Trump should get the Nobel Peace Prize if he could convince Chinese President Xi Jinping to abandon use of force against Taiwan. China accused the Taiwanese president of engaging in "unprincipled foreign pandering and bottomless selling out of Taiwan, squandering the flesh and blood of the people, prostituting himself and throwing in his lot with foreign forces.". | ||||
| ◆ The Diplomat, 2025-10-4 | The United States would resort to a strategy of “offshore balancing,” which “allows the U.S. to assist from a distance, and keeps the U.S. position in Asia intact regardless of how a cross-strait conflict concludes.” | ||||
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-9-29 | “The Rocket Force is the crown jewel of the Chinese military" . the Dongfeng-17 missiles are capable of traveling at least five times the speed of sound and can maneuver to evade defenses. the Dongfeng-26, which can be armed with a conventional or nuclear warhead, and can be transported by road, making it harder for enemies to track and destroy. | ||||
| ◆ L.A. Times, 2025-9-29 | Russia's high-altitude parachute systems would allow Chinese forces to glide for up to 50 miles allowing “Chinese special forces groups to penetrate the territory of other countries without being noticed,” the RUSI report said. | ||||
| ◆ Washington Post, 2025-9-26 | In a future war over Taiwan, Moscow's supply of oil, gas and other natural resources — and its large defense industry — could become “strategic backup for China. China lags behind Moscow in airborne combat experience and capabilities for air maneuver. | ||||
| ◆ AP News London, 2025-9-26 | Moscow's assistance (equipment and localized training) could help speed up China's airborne program by about 10 to 15 years. The greatest value of the deal to China is likely in the training and procedures for command and control of parachute forces, because Russia has "combat experience”, whereas China doesn't. | ||||
| ◆ The National Interest, 2025-9-25 | Taipei's strategists are finally making the pivot away from conventional armed forces toward something nimbler. Taiwan is moving slowly toward preparing to wage a protracted insurgency against any nation, like China, that would try to take away the Taiwanese people’s sovereignty through force. | ||||
| ◆ UPI, 2025-9-26 | A large-scale amphibious operation is highly risky, with the sites suitable for landing craft to deliver troops and equipment ashore constrained by the gradient and load bearing capacity of the beaches. Seizing airfields could allow troops to flow in by air, but runways can be quickly denied. Russia will train and equip Chinese paratroopers. | ||||
| ◆ Foreign Affairs, 2025-9-22 | There is no doubt that Chinese efforts at infiltration combined with military pressure—such as cyberattacks or a naval blockade under the guise of customs enforcement—would be a major challenge to Taiwan, but such measures could just as easily foment hostility toward Beijing as weaken Taiwanese resolve. | ||||
| ◆ Reuters, 2025-9-20 | Taiwan's message to the international community is that it is determined to defend itself and that people should not believe any claim it has surrendered in the event of invasion. | ||||
| ◆ Washington Post, 2025-9-19 | The U.S. government has for years urged Taiwan to buy more low-cost weaponry to counter China's massive advantage in ships, planes and missiles, but doing so will also make it harder to reach such drastic increases in defense spending. | ||||
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-9-15 | Taiwan is ... a source of advanced semiconductors. But even all that is not worth America's going to war. China is a formidable military power. US's military resources already overstretched by conflicts elsewhere, the US can ill afford conflict with China. | ||||
| ◆ National Interest, 2025-9-16 | if the United States were on the verge of an AGI breakthrough around the 2027 timeframe—then China may have an incentive to strike Taiwan in order to catch up in the race for AI superiority. | ||||
| ◆ Foreign Affairs, 2025-9-12 | Wars of chance are by nature sudden and unpredictable, often with devastating consequences. Chinese officials will not condone direct discussions with Lai because of what they perceive as his ardent pro-independence beliefs, but there is still room for backchannel conversations between Taipei and Beijing. These channels need to be established and safeguarded in peacetime so that they can be quickly activated in a crisis. | ||||
| ◆ Reuters, 2025-9-11 | Sea cable patrols missions have become a top priority to combat China's grey-zone warfare, a tactic meant to drain Taiwan's resources while falling short of an act of war. | ||||
| ◆ Monocle (UK), 2025-9-11 | Taiwan struggles to fill military ranks as China ramps up regional threats. large-scale developments of airports and ports for amphibious vehicles on Chinese islands in the East China Sea. It's believed that these could be used to launch an invasion of Taiwan; But on the ground in Taipei, armed forces remain significantly under-manned: active units are only about 80 per cent staffed. | ||||
| ◆ WSJ, The Telegraph, 2025-9-8 | In satellite images analysed by the Wall Street Journal, China builds new naval and air bases for Taiwan invasion. | ||||
| ◆ The Independent, 2025-9-4 | China has absorbed multiple lessons from Russia. Chinese tactics against Taiwan could be a hybrid of the Crimea and the dash to Kiev. China could command the seas by defeating an American force with one kinetic shock, securing control of the Taiwan strait . It could proclaim blockades, maritime quarantines, compulsory shipping lanes and aviation exclusion zones. Its new weapons could shatter American and Allied air and naval supremacy | ||||
| ◆ The Associated Press, 2025-9-3 | In Taiwan, competing narratives over the meaning of China's massive military show. “The lack of public reaction to China's display of military might reflects both the limits of Beijing's intimidation campaign against Taiwan and the longstanding concern of Taiwanese people becoming desensitized by the constant military threat posed by China,” said a senior analyst for the International Crisis Group. | ||||
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-9-2 | Xi parades firepower to signal that China won't be bullied again, and to show that China can resist pressure from the West. Mr. Xi offered an implicit message to Taiwan and its international supporters of the perils of any move toward formal independence. | ||||
| ◆ SCMP, 2025-9-4 | survey last year published by the Atlanta-based Carter Centre found that more than half of mainland Chinese citizens oppose the use of force to unify with Taiwan under any circumstances. Authors of the Stimson Centre report, "Rethinking the Threat", note that there are numerous measures short of a full-scale attack that Beijing may take, such as a naval blockade and cyberattacks, as part of a campaign of "coercive diplomacy". | ||||
| ◆ BBC, 2025-9-4 | Beijing's parade was a choreographed spectacle of precision, power and patriotism. 'A clear message to Trump'. In short: in the geopolitical universe different powers are aligning as a counterweight to American domination. | ||||
| ◆ CNBC, 2025-8-29 | Taiwan estimates China spent 40% more on military exercises in the Pacific last year, reaching $21 billion...Beijing expands its military footprint and scope of its drills, alarming regional capitals and Washington. | ||||
| ◆ BBC, 2025-8-26 | some, particularly the Taiwan government, believe a subtler invasion may already be taking place: one where China is trying to win the hearts and minds of ordinary Taiwanese in the hopes they would one day choose unification. Meanwhile, Taiwanese celebrities friendly to China, social media influencers and Chinese spouses of Taiwanese citizens have come under close scrutiny, | ||||
| ◆ Daily Express, 2025-8-28 | Huge shift in China-Taiwan relations as V-Day parade decision made. 'Guam Killer' ballistic missile, which is said to be able to reach the strategic American territory, is expected to be showcased in the capital amid rising global tensions. | ||||
| ◆ SKY News, Australia, 2025-8-26 | Yet questions remain over whether increasing spending on defence will truly help Taiwan in a conflict with China, whose military and defence budgets are much larger. Also, the increased defence spending would still only reach 2.45 per cent of Taiwan's GDP, nowhere near the 10 or even five per cent of GDP which American critics have called for. | ||||
| ◆ National Security Journal, 2025-8-26 | A Chinese invasion of Taiwan is not imminent, despite constant military rehearsals and bellicose rhetoric. Beijing's strategy is one of patient deterrence, not immediate conquest. | ||||
| ◆ Fox News, 2025-8-23 | Over the last decade, Taiwan has imported up to 97% of its energy needs, China can leverage its maritime dominance, its legal warfare and cyber tools to choke supply and test Taiwan's political resilience. | ||||
| ◆ Foreign Policy, 2025-8-21 | a break in the U.S.-Taiwan relationship—let alone a U.S. sellout of Taiwan that might tempt China to move against it—would have catastrophic repercussions for the entire world. | ||||
| ◆ Reuters, Bloomberg 2025-8-21 | Taiwan's 2026 defence budget to exceed 3% of GDP as US presses spending increase. Officials included money for the Coast Guard and veteran pensions in that topline figure for the first time. The final amount Taiwan spends on the military in 2026 will likely be different because the budget will have to go before the legislature, where the opposition holds a slim majority. | ||||
| ◆ InkStick, 2025-8-20 | Instead of overwhelming physical destruction, more measured methods would target the will to resist of Taiwan's servicemen and citizens. This could culminate in a blockade of Taiwan by the PLA Navy, backed by Chinese airpower and China's enormous missile arsenal. A blockade is an act of war, legally, but it can put the onus on its target to actually initiate hostilities. A “quarantine” by China's coast guard would strangle Taiwan more gradually than a full blockade, with less risk of war | ||||
| ◆ WSJ, Bloomberg, 2025-8-16 | Trump Tells Fox News He Believes Xi Won't Act on Taiwan. Trump said. “He'll never do it as long as you're president, President Xi told me that.” | ||||
| ◆ Semafor, 2025-8-12 | US unprepared for Chinese attack on Taiwan energy... ways for Beijing to undermine Taiwan's political leadership and public support for independence, and the most obvious — especially following Russia's disruptions to Ukraine's energy system over the past few years, a playbook that Beijing has studied closely — is to interrupt its energy supply | ||||
| ◆ Brookings, 2025-8-11 | The White House recently called off a meeting between Taiwan's defense minister and Pentagon officials and delayed action on military sales. Ely Ratner on WP: These concessions send a dangerous signal that America's approach to Taiwan is negotiable. | ||||
| ◆ Foundation for Defense of Democracies , 2025-8-11 | Chinese attempt to throttle Taiwan's energy supply chain is the kind of coercion that flies under the threshold of war, but could still bring Taiwan to its knees. In a cross-strait invasion, Taiwan's navy and air force are going to be history after a few days | ||||
| ◆ ASPI, 2025-8-11 | Numerous credible evaluations find that China lacks the requisite logistics, leadership and experience to conduct a comprehensive amphibious invasion across the Taiwan Strait. | ||||
| ◆ The Telegraph, 2025-8-8 | Taiwan's deputy foreign minister says that Taiwan needs to “learn and to work with China” to avoid war with a nuclear power. the reality is “if more countries recognise Taiwan, China may use force against Taiwan”. "we need to be pragmatic. We cannot provoke China” | ||||
| ◆ The Conversation, 2025-8-8 | Taiwan faces a precarious future – whether or not US and China continue on path to conflict | ||||
| ◆ The Diplomat, 2025-8-4 | China's likely strategy for taking Taiwan would be a swift and overwhelming assault, aimed at preventing foreign intervention and minimizing civilian resistance. Beijing has cultivated a population conditioned to support the state in conflict. Taiwan's strategy has been the opposite: depoliticize, demilitarize, and hope for deterrence through foreign alignment. The discrepancy could be catastrophic. | ||||
| ◆ BBC, 2025-8-6 |
Taiwanese expert accused the TV show <Zero Day Attack> of pushing Taiwan independence "so that Taiwan becomes a place that never knows peace". it was evidence of Lai's government "once again using all kinds of channels to play the 'anti-Communist card' and stir up anxiety of war". |
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| ◆ Anadolu Agency (Turkey), 2025-8-6 | China blasts Taiwan's Lai as 'warmonger' after William Lai Ching-te said Taipei would increase defense budget by more than 3% | ||||
| ◆ CSIS, 2025-7-31 | The “joint blockade campaign” (联合封锁战役) is discussed extensively in Chinese doctrinal writing, and the PLA has signaled that it would consider such a campaign if it acts against Taiwan. Taiwan requires U.S. intervention if China uses military force in a blockade. | ||||
| ◆ SKY News Australia, 2025-7-31 | Taiwan deputy foreign minister: alone, Taiwan can never be ready ! "It's not possible, China is so big, so huge." | ||||
| ◆ Council on Foreign Relations, 2025-7-25 | In recent surveys, only 36 percent of polled Americans support sending U.S. troops into harms war to break a Chinese blockade or repel a Chinese invasion of the island; while the foreign policy experts and both aisles of Congress remain staunch supporters of Taiwan, their views are increasingly at odds with U.S. public opinion. | ||||
| ◆ WSWS.org, 2025-7-28 | the US that is accelerating preparations for war with China by seeking to goad Beijing into attacking Taiwan — Washington is completely indifferent to the catastrophic impact such a war would have on the Taiwanese population. US is driven above all by the fear that China's economic growth is undermining America's global dominance | ||||
| ◆ Washington Post, 2025-7-23 | The harder challenge is deterring Chinese “gray zone” tactics, that squeeze Taiwan into submission. A professor at the Harvard Kennedy School etc: “The focal threat isn’t invasion but a quarantine that chokes the island by preventing import of food and energy and prevents export of computer chips and everything else.” | ||||
| ◆ The Strategist, 2025-7-21 | China could conceal preparations for an invasion by framing it as a large-scale joint exercise... the opening phase would be a massive missile barrage targeting Taiwan's airbases, radar stations, naval ports and command centres. Simultaneously, China's air force would launch waves of fighters, drones and bombers to suppress Taiwan's air defences. If the US decided to intervene, the world could quickly find itself on the brink of a global conflict. | ||||
| ◆ Financial Times, 2025-7-19 | Japan tells its companies in Taiwan "you're on your own" if China invades; FDI has slumped ft.com/content/04626778-0753-4fa5-a735-f1a5613b3293 | ||||
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| ◆ Global Times, 2025-7-20 | In reality, it reflects a clear-eyed recognition of the facts: Japan has little real intention of getting pulled into a military conflict with China. | ||||
| ◆ Financial Times, 2025-7-15 | experts said Taiwan's military would struggle to shake off a tradition of centralised command. “Decentralisation is a difficult thing for our armed forces” | ||||
| ◆ Fox News, 2025-7-15 | Pentagon presses Japan, Australia on role in possible Taiwan conflict. Australia responded by stressing it would not commit troops in advance of any conflict. CSIS expert: "Japan is always critical, we can't win the war without them", "Their forces are important, but our ability to use our bases in Japan is critical". Whether Japan allows the U.S. to center its wartime operations on its territory would be a critical question certain to come up in preparations for a wartime contingency. | ||||
| ◆ Council on Foreign Relations, 2025-7-8 | the PLA Navy and China's Coast Guard maintain a constant presence of approximately a dozen ships surrounding Taiwan, and that the PLA Navy could “move into a blockade posture . . . in a matter of hours.” The presence of Chinese warships and aircraft carriers in the waters around Taiwan is such that a full-scale Chinese air assault against Taiwan would also be possible without warning. | ||||
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-7-7 | The close ties between the two economies have been seen in Taiwan as a deterrent against China's aggression, and a way for China to exert its influence over the island. The coupling cuts both ways. | ||||
| ◆◆Eurasian Times, 2025-7-5 | future conflict scenarios might not begin with missile strikes or naval blockades but with targeted disruptions, sudden leadership decapitation attempts, or sabotage of key infrastructure—all carried out covertly before a formal war even begins | ||||
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-6-30 | “President Lai is trying to fire up his base of support as much as possible in order to ensure the recalls are successful". Critics say he is stoking divisions, and risking blowback from Beijing. | ||||
| ◆ Stars and Stripes, 2025-6-30 | Japan unlikely to intervene directly if China attacks Taiwan, expert says. The former head of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, Adm. John Aquilino, said all indications suggest the Chinese military could be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027. | ||||
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-6-26 | By attacking Iran, President Trump has shown he is willing to engage in a distant war. China's leaders are confident that their military is much more formidable than the weakened Iranian forces. China has about 3,500 missiles, as well as a growing nuclear arsenal and a fast-expanding navy. | ||||
| ◆ CNN, 2025-6-22 | US officials quietly warn that Taiwan's reserve forces remain the soft underbelly of its defense posture. Millions of former conscripts exist “on paper,” but years of truncated service and minimal refresher training have left them “underprepared for modern warfare. “It is imperative to reform military service as quickly as possible” | ||||
| ◆ Reuters, 2025-6-17 | Taiwan's armed forces are dwarfed by those of China, Taiwan is modernisising its military to be able to fight "asymmetric warfare," using mobile and agile systems like submarines, drones and truck-mounted missiles to fend off its much-larger adversary China. | ||||
| ◆ SCMP, 2025-6-15 | Taiwan war game triggers US questions over island's ‘will to fight’ if PLA attacks. The exercise simulating a 2030 cross-strait conflict has exposed serious vulnerabilities in Taiwan's defences of its outer perimeter and eastern regions, most notably Penghu. | ||||
| ◆ Defense News, 2025-6-14 | When young conscripts in Taiwan refer to themselves as “cannon fodder,” it signals a crisis in trust that the government must not ignore. According to the Washington Post, Taiwan's Defense Minister acknowledged that equipment and instructor shortages have delayed plans to improve training for reserves. | ||||
| ◆ Economist, 2025-6-10 | Should Taiwan rehearse how to resist occupation by China, striving to be ungovernable after a defeat? Several Taiwanese experts are sceptical. They call such planning defeatist, divisive and panic-inducing | ||||
| ◆ Atlantic Council, 2025-6-9 | China is carrying out ‘dress rehearsals’ to take Taiwan, which has made distinguishing exercises from true military action nearly impossible. a nonlinear 300 percent increase in Chinese military pressure over the past year. As the PLA continues to degrade US and Taiwanese abilities to detect tactical and operational indicators of conflict, China's geographic advantage across the Pacific becomes even more acute. | ||||
| ◆ The Hill, 2025-6-10 | China's next war ‘could be imminent’ and spread fast. War is coming to East Asia, and Taiwan — Chinese President Xi Jinping, after all, has staked his personal legitimacy on annexing Taiwan. | ||||
| ◆ National Interest, 2025-6-6 | Taiwan must embrace an insurgency strategy. what would Taipei need to prepare for this? Not tanks, F-16s, and warships (they are also going to be big, beautiful targets for Chinese bombardment) but rather lots of people and a seemingly endless cache of small arms dispersed throughout the country. Unfortunately, Taiwan's leaders have not adopted this approach—and they're running out of time to change direction. | ||||
| ◆ Wall Street Journal, 2025-6-3 | The War of Revision Is Coming. Taiwan could be the next battlefield. | ||||
| ◆ The Guardian, 2025-6-1 | China already has sufficient capability to invade now, with amphibious landing craft, D-day-style floating docks, paratroopers and expanded air combat and missile forces in a constant state of readiness. | ||||
| ◆ Bloomberg, 2025-6-2 | China escalated military pressure around the region, deploying dozens of warships and government vessels daily in what it described as an extreme pressure campaign. | ||||
| ◆ Daily Express (UK), 2025-6-2 | China stockpiling nukes and could team up with Russia to grab Taiwan, there's uncertainty over how far the US 'nuclear umbrella' really stretches - and whether America would act in defence of Alaska, Hawaii, Guam or its Pacific allies. | ||||
| ◆ New York Post, 2025-5-29 | Taiwanese officials are worried their country will have difficulty attracting international support should China launch an invasion. "in order to stay in power, Xi will have to possibly use force against Taiwan.” | ||||
| ◆ NBC News, 2025-5-30 | In congressional testimony, an official publicly acknowledged for the first time that there are about 500 U.S. military personnel stationed in Taiwan, more than 10 times the number previously disclosed. But, it is difficult for Taiwan to build a modern fighting force, China's 2.8-million-strong military is more than 18 times larger than Taiwan's number of active-duty personnel. | ||||
| ◆ Financial Times, 2025-5-26 | China improves ability to launch sudden attack on Taiwan, officials say. Military build-up enables Beijing to switch from peacetime to war operations quickly. China's Type 075 amphibious assault ships are capable of dropping special forces into Taiwan ft.com/content/c82eb38e-87cb-4468-b013-0f7fce0fc54b | ||||
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-5-22 | Taiwan defense chief is overseeing the Taiwanese government's efforts to upgrade its relatively small military into a force strong and nimble enough to fend off threats from China, partly by deploying more drones, unmanned sea vessels and highly mobile missiles. “Practical training is the foundation for forming combat capabilities.”. The trajectory is in the right direction. It's now a question of being able to move fast enough.nytimes.com/2025/05/22/world/asia/trump-china-taiwan-security.html | ||||
| ◆ National Interest, 2025-5-20 | Polls repeatedly show that an American majority does not support fighting for Taiwan, preferring instead the current ambiguous status quo. Taiwan's hope and expectation is that the United States will enter the fray. Wargames point to costly fighting and losses if that happens, including the specter of potential escalation to nuclear war. | ||||
| ◆ Foreign Affairs, 2025-5-20 | Military upgrades should be concealed or downplayed until they are fielded... Reassuring Beijing is a critical component of a successful deterrence strategy. Reassurance that Washington does not support Taiwanese independence should include public criticism when Taiwan's leaders make statements or take actions that suggest otherwise. | ||||
| ◆ PBS, 2025-5-20 | Michael Swaine, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: Taiwan has never been regarded as a strategically critical location for the United States in Asia. The United States should be supporting Taiwan in every way possible, except through military intervention. | ||||
| ◆◆Foreign Affairs, 2025-5-15 | The Risk of War in the Taiwan Strait Is High—and Getting Higher. Beijing's worry about the future could spur a deadly miscalculation Soon | ||||
| ◆◆Newsweek, 2025-5-17 | the former commander of the U.S. Army Pacific, told lawmakers that "the threat of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan is no longer distant or theoretical." | ||||
| ◆◆Wall Street Journal, 2025-5-14 | . They span nearly 2700 feet; This could thin out Taiwan's defenses and make it harder to defend all the different places... | ||||
| ◆ Brookings 2025-5-12 | China has been pursuing a strategy of “coercion without violence”to steadily induce a sense of fatalism among Taiwan people that resistance is futile, and that Taiwan eventually will have no choice but to succumb to Beijing’s designs. As The Economist recently reported, about 30% say Taiwan will end up ‘being unified by mainland China’. | ||||
| ◆◆Wall Street Journal, 2025-5-10 | Using weapons that are cheaper to acquire and faster to deploy will be key to fending off China, said professor at King’s College London. One of the biggest obstacles facing Taiwan's military is staffing. President said he would raise military spending to 3% of GDP, but he has encountered resistance to his budget in parliament from opposition... | ||||
| ◆◆Daily Mail, 2025-5-7 | China is at a 'rapid boil' in its preparations for a military attack on Taiwan, said Admiral Samuel Paparo, heading up the US Indo-Pacific Command | ||||
| ◆◆Deutsche Welle (DW), 2025-5-5 | Energy would be Beijing's first target in case of a blockade or invasion. The water supply is powered by electricity, communication is based on electricity and the military would not be able to function without it. | ||||
| ◆◆Real Clear Defense, 2025-5-5 | A Taiwan Strait war wouldn't be measured in months. It would be decided in days. The U.S. won't have time to surge exquisite assets across the Pacific... | ||||
| ◆◆Economist, 2025-5-1 | Recent China's military exercises deployed in a “cabbage strategy” to wrap Taiwan in layers of forces. A blockade could provoke an American military response without forcing Taiwan to surrender. That is why a quarantine is more likely. | ||||
| ◆◆Foreign Policy, 2025-5-1 | Trump Should Rein In Taiwan. Lai Ching-te gave several speeches that went significantly further than his predecessors in positioning Taiwan as a sovereign state that is separate from China, greatly increasing the risks that Xi could seize Taiwan's outlying islands, order a blockade, or even invade | ||||
| ◆◆Brookings, 2025-4-25 | According to our survey, across almost all measures, the United States is seen as a less reliable partner, Taiwan and South Korea both feel less confident that the United States will assist them in the event of a conflict with their respective authoritarian neighbor. Only 37.5% of respondents in Taiwan believed in March 2025 that it is “likely” or “very likely” that the United States would intervene in a military conflict.brookings.edu/articles/the-trump-effect-on-public-attitudes-toward-america-in-taiwan-and-south-korea/ | ||||
| for more China-Taiwan conflicts ... click | |||||
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Taiwan might have reasons to worry about Trump. |
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| ◆ CNN, 2025-10-30 | Some experts remain worried that Trump might be willing to make concessions on Taiwan for a better trade deal. The refusal to definitively count out Taiwan becoming a pawn in trade talks between the world’s two largest economies comes as Trump has privately and publicly suggested he believes China will not invade the self-ruled island. |
| ◆ TIME, 2025-10-23 | Trump's recalcitrance regarding support for military action over Taiwan is broadly shared by its allies. |
| ◆ CBC, Radio-Canada, 2025-10-17 | The key issue is whether the United States is going to come to Taiwan's rescue if Taiwan gets invaded; Taiwan's role is actually to serve as a critical component of the alliance built by the U.S. The U.S. has made it crystal clear that we're trying to recreate a supply chain free of China's influence. |
| ◆◆The Diplomat, 2025-10-4 | The U.S. government is preparing for a military strategy that “does not demand too much from Americans.” |
| ◆ Asia Times, 2025-10-6 | For now, the silicon shield disincentivizes a Taiwan Strait war. But as a small country threatened by a much larger close neighbor, and with the resolve of its protector perhaps weakening, Taiwan remains fundamentally insecure. / Denny Roy is a senior fellow, East-West Center, Honolulu. |
| ◆◆ cryptopolitan, 2025-9-29 | US pressures Taiwan to shift chip production amid push for 50% domestic supply. arstechnica, 2025-9-29: Taiwan pressured to move 50% of chip production to US or lose protection. |
| ◆◆Foreign Affairs, 2025-9-22 | President Donald Trump puts a higher priority on reaching a trade deal and improving relations with Beijing than on steadfast support for Taiwan. |
| ◆ ◆Financial Times, 2025-8-28 | the US now seems more interested in doing a deal with China than showing support for Taiwan. |
| ◆◆SKY News, Australia, 2025-8-26 | more Taiwanese people have become less trusting and more doubtful about US reliability, as several polls on the island this year have shown. |
| ◆◆Bloomberg, 2025-8-21 | Taiwan Aims to Placate Trump With a 23% Military Spending Boost |
| ◆◆Foreign policy, 2025-8-21 | U.S. security guarantees no longer seem as solid as they once were. Trump once said “Taiwan is like two feet from China. … We are 8,000 miles away. If they invade, there isn’t a fucking thing we can do about it.” |
| ◆◆Global Times, 2025-8-22 | Reports that US is considering taking stakes in TSMC prompt swift responses.If TSMC were to move all its advanced production facilities to the US, the company could face the existential threat of being hollowed out. The Trump administration is growing bolder in trespassing market rules and legal boundaries. |
| ◆◆Reuters, 2025-8-21 | Taiwan's 2026 defence budget to exceed 3% of GDP as US presses spending increase. |
| ◆◆Global Times, 2025-8-21 | DPP boosting Taiwan's military budget to over 3% will ‘intensify tensions’ across Straits and face countermeasures from the mainland and erode resources for people's livelihoods in the island. DPP to lift the regional defense budget to over 3 percent of GDP effectively serves as a "protection fee" to the US. |
| ◆ Brookings, 2025-8-11 | There is real concern that the Trump administration might trade away Taiwan's interests in order to make a deal with Beijing. Trump himself has never shown a principled commitment to Taiwan, and his enthusiasm for a Trump-Xi summit is growing. |
| ◆◆Fox News, 2025-7-30 | "President Trump is handing our primary geopolitical adversary the keys to the castle of 21st century global technological dominance. Doing so will enable Chinese leadership in artificial intelligence, infusing the Chinese military with the technological advantage it needs to continue hostile operations across the globe," the Democratic statement claimed. |
| ◆◆Bloomberg, 2025-7-31 | Trump likes winners — the problem for Taiwan’s leader Lai Ching-te is that he looks like a man running out of options. It’s an unenviable position to be in, with the threat of punishing tariffs hanging over him. Domestically, Lai is dealing with the fallout from a bruising vote that will embolden the self-ruled island’s pro-Beijing opposition. |
| ◆◆Al Jazeera, 2025-7-31 | fears have been growing that US President Donald Trump is losing interest in relations with the democratic, self-ruled island in favour of building ties with China. |
| ◆◆Fox News, 2025-7-29 | U.S.-Taiwan solidarity has long included symbolic gestures — but critics suggest that the Trump administration may be undermining that relationship in a bid to engage China on trade. |
| ◆ Council on Foreign Relations, 2025-7-25 | Trump's desire to shoulder this burden, deterrence in the Taiwan Strait, is very much an open question. Trump is avowedly opposed to entering new wars and is eager to strike grand bargains. Would a grand bargain with Xi involve selling Taiwan down the river in exchange for trade or commercial concessions? |
| ◆ Washington Post, 2025-7-23 | Trump's views about Taiwan are unclear, ... Some fear that in trying to make a broad trade agreement with Xi, Trump could put Taiwan on the table. |
| ◆ WSWS.org, 2025-7-21 | In reality, just as it actively provoked Russia into invading Ukraine, the US under both Biden and Trump has sought to goad China into using its military to take over Taiwan. Formally, the US still abides by the “One China” policy; but Washington has been systemically undermining that policy by dispensing with associated diplomatic protocols, arming Taiwan with offensive weapons and stationing US troops on the island. Washington plans to transform Taiwan into an Asian Ukraine as a means of triggering a conflict, destabilising China and subordinating it to the economic and strategic interests of US. |
| ◆ Taipei Times, 2025-7-14 | Trump's foreign policy is less about strategy than instinct. Trump approaches diplomacy as a real estate mogul might: transactional, impulsive, and often devoid of historical context. For Taiwan, Can it continue to rely on a US security umbrella under a president who has questioned the value of NATO, threatened to pull US troops from South Korea, and hinted in the past at making deals with China at Taiwan’s expense? |
| ◆ The Print, 2025-7-16 | the US response to Taiwan's invasion will depend on the occupant of the Oval Office. Trump has adopted an “America First” approach and is increasingly less keen on spending money to defend foreign countries. |
| ◆ BBC, 2025-7-9 | The US is compelled by legislation to help Taiwan defend itself, but Trump has been ambiguous about this and recently refused to comment on whether he would stop China from taking Taiwan by force. Doubt grows in Taiwan that the US under Donald Trump would intervene militarily in the event of a Chinese attack |
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-7-7 | Mr. Trump has demanded that Taiwan drastically raise its own military spending and accused Taiwan of stealing the lead in semiconductor manufacturing from the United States. Officials in Taiwan have committed to a slight increase in military spending |
| ◆ Economist, 2025-6-10 | When Mr Trump scorns Ukraine as a small country that foolishly imagines it can defy a larger neighbour, Taiwanese hear echoes of their own plight. |
| ◆ Atlantic Council, 2025-6-9 | The US TRANSCOM has revealed reduced capacity and greater cracks in the United States’ sustainment strategy. This combination of reduced warning and response poses serious risks to the United States’ ability to deter a forceful resolution across the Taiwan Strait. |
| ◆ The Guardian, 2025-6-1 | Trump doesn't know how to deal with China. His cowardice only makes a war with Taiwan more likely. when people ask if Trump will fight for Taiwan, the answer is not really in serious doubt. |
| ◆NBC, 2025-5-30 | Officials in Taipei have also been rattled by the collapse of U.S. support for Ukraine as well as the threat of steep tariffs on Taiwan's exports, which Trump has set at 32% in addition to a 10% baseline. Even as it works with the U.S., Taiwan is unsure about the extent of the security commitment from Washington |
| ◆New York Post, 2025-5-29 | Taiwanese officials are worried their country will have difficulty attracting international support should China launch an invasion. |
| ◆New York Times, 2025-5-21 | Taiwan's president has taken a tougher stance on China, raising criticism from some who say it's a risky position since a geopolitically fickle President Trump may not offer steadfast support for the island. |
| ◆ Economist, 2025-5-1 | Mr Trump's fickleness has made Taiwan's security seem more parlous |
| ◆ The WEEK, 2025-4-15 | Washington's long-maintained "security relationship" has been "less than assured" since Donald Trump took office recently. "the confusing signals" from America have left "Taipei wondering where it stands", said The Washington Post. |
| ◆ Newsweek, 2025-4-8 | Would Donald Trump Defend Taiwan? Even as Pete Hegseth said that the U.S. priority is the Indo Pacific, the U.S. military is focused on the Middle East, and there have been reports that the U.S. THAAD battery in Seoul along with two Patriot missile batteries, deployed elsewhere, were moved to the Middle East. |
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-4-1 | The problem with president Mr. Lai's approach is that Taiwan can no longer bank on U.S. support. This isn’t something that we are just now realizing |
| ◆ Wall Street Journal, 2025-3-17 | Taiwan's military planners signal to Washington the desire for a stable relationship as anxieties simmer in Taipei about whether President Trump would send help to defend against a Chinese attack. Trump's recent suspension of U.S. support for Ukraine heightened those concerns in Taiwan. |
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-3-6 | President Trump has pressed Taiwan to loosen its dominance in advanced semiconductors and to move production to the United States, and he has warned of hefty tariffs if his demands are not met.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/world/asia/taiwan-tsmc-chips-arizona.html |
| ◆ TIME, 2025-2-27 | University of London expert says: I haven't seen any evidence that Trump cares much about Taiwan. Nanyang Technological University scholar says: China may be able to take Taiwan “without too much U.S. interference” if Beijing is able to strike a similar deal with Washington. |
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-2-25 | Mr. Trump executes a dramatic reversal of U.S. policy toward Ukraine, insisting that Ukraine is to blame for the war; a few Taiwanese commentators suggest that if war between China and Taiwan should erupt, Mr. Trump might take a similarly transactional approach. |
| ◆ Council on Foreign Relations, 2025-2-21 | Trump is making Taiwan more vulnerable. Trump has also made clear that he wants to negotiate a broad economic deal with China, which raises the question of what China will seek in return. If Trump can take Greenland, why can't China take Taiwan? |
| ◆ Washington Post, 2025-2-18 | Each statement by Trump that degrades the principle that territorial boundaries must not be redrawn by force or coercion might embolden China on Taiwan. political scientist Graham Allison : “Taiwan will be depreciated in the triangular relationship”,“I see no evidence whatever that [Trump] believes the U.S. has any vital interest in Taiwan.” |
| ◆ NY Times, 2025-2-13 | Taiwan prepares for Trump's tariffs and a more transactional U.S. relationship; Taiwanese officials have traveled to Washington to float energy deals and defend the island's semiconductors. |
| ◆ Bloomberg, 2025-2-14 | Taiwan President pledged to boost military spending to 3% of GDP; Trump suggested the archipelago should devote 10% of GDP to its armed forces. |
| ◆ CNN, 2024-12-15 | one thing's for sure: Trump is a less vocal supporter of Taiwan than Joe Biden. That's why Taiwan is buckling up for what could be a far more volatile relationship with Washington. Trump's remarks have prompted jitters that Taiwan would need to move more of its critical chip supply chain to the US at a faster pace, that could affect the island's economic security and dismantle the very “silicon shield” ... |
| ◆ New York Times, 2024-11-24 | Trump couldn't care less about Taiwan... Maybe he will strike some sort of bargain with Taiwan. But whatever Taiwan can offer him, Beijing can easily top. More and more, there are those in Taiwan who say we are an “abandoned chess piece,” no longer valued by the United States. China amplifies these fears... |
| ◆ Wall Street Journal, 2024-11-18 |
Some in Taiwan say its survival as a self-ruled democracy is
at stake, that it
can't afford to spend what Trump demands on defense and that it would wither in
the crossfire of a U.S.-China trade war. Taiwan's military spending is currently at 2.45% of GDP—a lower share than Singapore's 2.8% and South Korea's 2.7%; In Washington, the percent of GDP is really seen as a proxy for your seriousness. |
| ◆ Fox News, 2024-11-10 | Trump's public comments might suggest that he would not be willing to put boots on the ground to face another global superpower in defense of a tiny island democracy (Taiwan). there is hope among restraint groups that Trump will be focused on economic warfare with China – rather than military. "We don't have that alliance with Taiwan, ... the Taiwan issue is a powder keg — it's exceedingly dangerous. " |
| ◆ New York Times, 2024-11-10 | Tump's call for Taiwan to spend more on its own defense and his complaints about its semiconductor dominance may herald a tenser relationship. |
| ◆ Business Insider, 2024-11-9 | In 2025, Taiwan will have to contend with uncertainty on whether the US will protect it, or play it. |
| ◆ New York Times, 2024-11-6 | Some diplomats expect China to intensify pressure on Taiwan, if not invade Taiwan; and China may calculate that Mr. Trump would not go to war for a democracy that he has accused of “stealing” the microchip industry from the US. “With Donald Trump, there are large amounts of uncertainty,” said Lev Nachman, a political scientist, “And it's a matter of uncertainty that comes with great risk for Taiwan.” |
| ◆ Washington Post, 2024-11-6 | Trump's statements this year that raise doubt about his willingness to come to the island democracy's defense and his misleading assertion that Taipei needs to pay the US for defense. Such rhetoric could “fan the flames of skepticism” ... |
| ◆ New York Times, 2024-11-6, news briefing | Trump could decide to do the true “America First” thing and withdraw completely, and basically say, "defending Taiwan is not in our interest.” ... |
| ◆ Bloomberg, 2024-11-5 | Taiwan's Economic Affairs Minister acknowledged that Trump could introduce measures that might prove harmful for Taiwan's semiconductor industry. But the impact will not be as severe as some anticipate. |
| ◆ Reuters, 2024-11-6 | Trump might try to use the Taiwan issue as a bargaining chip to gain leverage in other areas, such as offering to restrain Taiwan's provocative actions in exchange for Beijing's compromise on trade. |
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Trump's tariffs , trade war, chips |
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| ◆ Cryptopolitan, 2025-11-11 | The former Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen has said that Taiwan is strategically protected by its strong semiconductor ecosystem. “Now, it is such an initiative that helps Taiwan strengthen its defence and societal resilience in the face of threats”. Analysts often refer to this dynamic as the “silicon shield.” It is the idea that Taiwan's technological importance makes it too valuable to isolate or attack without global consequences. |
| ◆ CNN, 2025-10-30 | Taiwan is not willing to concede to the US across the board. The island vowed to resist pressure from Washington to shift half of its chip production capacity to the United States, throwing down the gauntlet to the Trump administration just earlier this month. The subject is expected to continue as an active piece of the ongoing trade talks between the US and Taiwan. |
| ◆ Fox Business, 2025-8-27 | Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent: We've ended up with is 99% of the advanced chips in the world are manufactured on the island of Taiwan. That's a national security risk like we haven't seen since the Arab oil embargo. We just have to de-risk several aspects of the U.S. economy. |
| ◆ Bloomberg, 2025-8-12 | opposition parties and some industries have criticized Lai’s administration for Trump imposing a 20% duty on Taiwan’s exports to the US — a figure that is higher than the deals secured by regional competitors like Japan and South Korea. The TVBS survey also found that 52% of respondents were dissatisfied with Lai’s handling of the US tariffs. |
| ◆ BBC, 2025-8-1 | Taiwan, one of the world's largest major semiconductor manufacturers and key US ally - also saw its tariff reduced, from 32% in April to 20%. But it's not yet clear if its chip industry will face separate sectoral tariffs. Its president Lai Ching-te said that the current rate was "temporary," as negotiations with Washington are still ongoing. |
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-7-7 | Taiwan's ruling party wants to be seen in Washington as a reliable friend of the United States, “even if that means paying a short-term economic cost”; Completely decoupling the two economies would be difficult. China remains the largest buyer of Taiwan's exports, especially semiconductors. |
| ◆◆Wall Street Journal, 2025-6-9 | Taiwan exports growth nears 15-Year high on likely frontloading as tariff uncertainty continues. Taiwan expects exports to contract in the second half, citing “escalating trade protectionism and heightened policy uncertainty.” |
| ◆◆Bloomberg, 2025-5-30 | Trump is planning to ramp up weapons sales to Taiwan to a level exceeding the pace set during his first term, Reuters reported, a move that risks escalating military tensions with China at a time the two nations are already locked in difficult talks over tariffs. |
| ◆ Foreign Affairs, 2025-5-20 | The trade war could make a shooting war seem more appealing to Beijing. |
| ◆ The WEEK, 2025-4-15 | Increasing economic dependence on the US "could placate Mr Trump", said The Spectator, but "experience shows that it could just become a way for Trump to exert more pressure in the future". China has signaled it will not let the trade war keep it from the technology it needs. Expert at Techcet said,“Everyone is holding their breath". |
| ◆ Washington Post, 2025-4-9 | Tariffs put Taiwan on shaky ground with U.S., may open door for China. Taiwan can't afford to take on Beijing and Washington at the same time, Taiwanese professor at NCCU said. The U.S. aims to push other countries into negotiations through raising the tariffs, hoping they'll buy more American goods and services |
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-4-3 | The Taiwanese government condemned the tariffs as unreasonable and unfair to Taiwan. The government would lodge a strong protest...The chip companies in Taiwan, the center of the global supply chain, are expected to face pressure from Washington to invest more in the U.S. |
| ◆ Reuters, 2025-3-4 | TSMC's $100 bln gamble jeopardises 'Taiwan First'. TSMC committed to set up a major research and development centre stateside, despite an earlier assurance from boss C.C. Wei to keep innovation on the company's home island. That's a threat to Taiwan in multiple ways. The enormous disruption that military conflict would inflict on global semiconductor supply chains is a core part of the deterrence. But the more that TSMC replicates its business offshore, the more this protection will erode. |
| ◆ Politico, 2025-3-3 | Taiwanese chipmaker TSMC announces new $100B investment in US; CEO C.C. Wei credited President Donald Trump for the investments TSMC agreed to build a factory in the U.S. to cut reliance on geopolitically risky Taiwan during Trump’s first term. |
| ◆ Global Times, 2025-3-4 | Taiwanese critics claim TSMC “has become USMC”, calling the move “yet another example of the Democratic Progress Party (DPP) selling out Taiwan.” |
| ◆ AFP, 2025-11-1 | Taiwan's new opposition leader said Taiwan can't afford to hike its defence budget to more than three percent of GDP, but Taiwan president Lai Ching-te aims to boost defence spending to more than three percent of GDP next year, following US pressure to spend more on protecting itself against a potential Chinese attack. |
| ◆ Foreign Affairs, 2025-9-22 | a failed “recall” of opposition members that deeply divided the population, and President Lai Ching-te's popularity is collapsing. |
| ◆ SKY News, Australia, 2025-8-26 | Lai Ching-te can choose to double down on his current stance or realise how precarious Taiwan's position is. His approval ratings have fallen sharply to new lows as well. He might need to consider having a more flexible stance regarding cross-strait ties and a more cautious and less deferential approach towards the US |
| ◆ Japan Times, 2025-8-24 | Taiwan voters reject lawmaker recalls, clouding defense budget |
| ◆ Global Times, 2025-8-22 | the people of Taiwan island once again said "No" to the DPP's malicious political farce of suppressing dissent and sowing division, China said after the second round of recall votes against seven KMT legislators in Taiwan island failed. China also condemned the DPP's "green terror." |
| ◆ Bloomberg, 2025-8-12 | Taiwan President Lai Ching-te's approval rating has dropped to the lowest level since he took office last year, underscoring the hit he has taken from a range of political setbacks. |
| ◆◆CNN, 2025-7-27 | KMT chairman: “All Taiwanese people chose stability, chose that the government should focus on getting things done, rather than engaging in bitter political fighting". the KMT has accused the ruling party of resorting to political retaliation after it lost the legislative majority, saying the recalls were undermining and challenging Taiwan's democratic system. At the moment, there is very little Lai can do other than try to think of other creative ways to appeal to the public” |
| ◆◆BBC, 2025-7-25 | The opponents characterise William Lai as a fascist and authoritarian traitor of Taiwan's democracy. Large screens played videos of Lai doctored to make him look like Adolf Hitler with the words "Fuhrer Lai", as well as the slogan "Green Terror" – a reference to the DPP's party colour and the White Terror, a period of authoritarian rule and political repression under the Kuomintang |
| ◆ Forbes, 2025-7-27 | historic vote has no doubt emboldened and rejuvenated the base of the KMT and TPP in their ability to wield power and influence in the legislature. A key objective is to position the KMT and TPP to advance a more constructive narrative towards cross- strait relations and a check on DPP's power base and sustain this momentum until the next Presidential election |
| ◆◆Reuters, 2025-7-26 | KMT Chairman called for Lai to apologise and reflect on his own governance. |
| ◆◆New York Times, 2025-7-26 | Lev Nachman, a political scientist at NTU in Taipei said: “I also think that there is going to be some need for self-reflection about how Lai Ching-te presents himself and the party DPP. He is not winning over moderate voters..." |
| ◆ The Guardian, 2025-7-23 | Lev Nachman, a professor at National Taiwan University said “There's a difference between anti-DPP and pro-Beijing, but from the recallers' perspective these have become synonymous.” |
| ◆ Reuters, 2025-7-23 | The recall groups accuse the KMT of selling out Taiwan by sending lawmakers to China, not supporting defence spending, and bringing chaos to parliament. The KMT rejects those accusations, denouncing Lai's "dictatorship" and "green terror" - the DPP's party colour. China said Lai is "engaging in dictatorship under the guise of democracy" and "using every means possible to suppress the opposition" |
| ◆ WSWS.org, 2025-7-21 | president Lai is determined to undermine and suppress any opposition. Lai and the DPP are waging an unprecedented recall campaign against 31 KMT lawmakers. The whipping up of anti-China xenophobia to establish DPP parliamentary control is a warning that new anti-democratic measures are being prepared to crack down on opposition to the preparations for war. |
| ◆ The Jamestown Foundation, 2025-7-7 | Taiwan's ‘Great Recall’ a Historic Bid to Overturn the Opposition's Legislative Majority. The pro-recall campaigners rely heavily on “painting red” (抹紅) the KMT by associating them with the CCP's agenda. The KMT deny this, and there is no proof of them taking direct orders from the CCP. |
| ◆ Wall Street Journal, 2025-6-9 | Taiwan has embarked on a mission to purge any allies of Beijing from its civil service in an escalating battle against China's influence. |
| ◆◆Bloomberg, 2025-5-20 | Lai's tougher stance may give Beijing more pretext to ramp up pressure on Taiwan. Nearly half of respondents think Taiwan is heading in the wrong direction, and Lai's approval rating has slipped to 32% — his lowest since taking office a year ago. Taiwan risks chipping away at its own civil liberties... Lai's policy may result in a tightening of free speech under the guise of national security ... it causes a kind of chilling effect — a form of self censorship. msn.com/en-us/news/world/taiwan-s-lai-toughens-china-stance-stoking-debate-on-democracy/ar-AA1F3Xlz?ocid=BingNewsVerp |
| ◆◆AFP News, Eurasian Times, 2025- 5-19 | the current dysfunction is distracting lawmakers and eroding public confidence, which benefits Beijing. Ryan Hass at Brookings: a divided, fractured Taiwan is incapable of addressing its own long-term requirements and vulnerabilities. Bonnie Glaser: The parties “spend a lot of their time thinking about how to weaken support and damage the reputation and the image of their political adversaries”. Lai's disapproval rating rose to the highest since he took office — the polling group linked to handling of US tariffs on Taiwan and the DPP's unprecedented recall campaign targeting the opposition. eurasiantimes.com/its-advantage-china-as-taiwans-president-who-vowed-to-stand-up-to-beijing-faces-political-turmoil-at-home/ |
| ◆◆Brookings, 2025-5-12 | Taiwan's political system is in turmoil. Lai Ching-te's approval ratings have dropped. So, too, has public sentiment on Taiwan's future. Economist: about 30% say Taiwan will end up ‘being unified by mainland China’, 8% more than in 2020. |
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“Zero Day”- What if China invaded Taiwan? This TV drama paints a visceral picture |
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| ◆ Washington Post, 2025-8-23 | Taiwan’s motion picture industry is still heavily reliant on Taiwanese government subsidies — which “Zero Day Attack” also received — and distribution in the enormous Chinese market. Taiwan's People increasingly feel the possibility of coming under attack |
| ◆ The Guardian, 2025-6-1 | A new Taiwanese TV drama, Zero Day, depicts the frightful impact of an invasion on an unprepared nation. |
| ◆ Wall Street Journal, 2025-5-15 | Is ‘Zero Day’ a Preview of Taiwan's Future? A Taiwanese realization: if we don't do something more for this country, we will not retain our democracy and our freedom.” Watching “Zero Day” may unsettle Taiwanese viewers enough to draw the same conclusion—and to act on it. |
| ◆ Financial Review, Australia, 2025-5-14 | Zero Day addresses the issue of divided loyalties in Taiwan head-on. It features portraits of people whose first instinct is to surrender, while others flee and some collaborate with the invaders. |
| ◆ AFP, Eurasian Times, 2025-5-13 | Zero Day! Taiwanese War Drama ‘Wake-Up Call’ To Chinese Invasion Threat As Next Battlefield Could Be Taiwan Strait. Taiwan would be outgunned in any conflict with China and would need the United States and other countries to come to its defence. |
| ◆ Washington Post, Star and Strips, 2024-8-4 | the “Zero Day” show's bleak assessment of Taiwanese readiness to fight touches upon a very real problem facing President Lai Ching-te, new programs have continued to face shortages of funding, instructors and equipment . |
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Taiwan's Han Kuang exercise, the largest and longest one so far |
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| ◆ Spectator (since 1828), 2025-7-19 | Beijing has less risky possible strategies that are more obviously within its capabilities. One is a sudden lightning assault on the Taiwanese government. To do so, Chinese vessels would presumably sail up the Tamsui river, which in the last two weeks the Taiwanese military has practised blockading. |
| ◆◆Reuters, 2025-7-17 | The civil defence drills are taking place at the same time as Taiwan's largest ever military drills, which simulated attacks on its command systems and infrastructure, as well as China's grey zone tactics including military incursions and a disinformation campaign designed to test Taiwan's response |
| ◆◆CNN, 2025-7-17 | Air raid drills across Taiwan as island practices for a war with China it hopes will never come. Polls suggest most Taiwanese don't believe an invasion is imminent, the government is preparing with focus and urgency. |
| ◆◆AFP, 2025-7-17 | "It is as much training as acclimating the Taiwanese population to the reality of modern warfare," said a member of the Atlantic Council. A citizen said Taiwanese people had "lived comfortably for too long" and some didn't take the air raid drill seriously. |
| ◆◆The War Zone, 2025-7-14 | Taiwanese troops train to use subway to their advantage during Chinese invasion of Taipei. Camouflage, concealment, and deception tactics are already aspects of Taiwanese training for urban warfare. In addition to being transit nodes, Taipei Metro stations might be convertible to other uses, including acting as command posts or field hospitals. |
| ◆◆National Defense magazine, 2025-7-14 | Lack of U.S. participation in Taiwan military exercise a concern, experts say; The United States' absence from Han Kuang not only limits its effectiveness, but also incurs heavy costs in the event of an actual invasion scenario, they said. |
| ◆ Reuters, 2025-7-9 | The exercises start with simulated attacks on its command systems and infrastructure ahead of a Chinese invasion, and will focus on testing how Taiwan's military can decentralise command in the event of a crippling communications attack. Cyber attacks and misinformation campaigns are seen by Taiwan as high-intensity "grey zone" actions that are likely to precede a broader Chinese assault. |
| ◆ BBC, 2025-7-9 |
Like last year, the drills will be unscripted to test troops' response to a surprise attack. This change appears to have been made in response to criticism over the years that previous drills appeared to be more of a public relations exercise instead of an actual military exercise. Taiwan's military and defence has come under criticism both domestically and externally in recent years. One survey last year showing only 47.5% have confidence in their defence capabilities. |
| ◆ Global Times, 2025-7-9 | Taiwan plans for a last-ditch fight, attempting to prolong the combat and wait for external forces to come to their aid, in the event of a military conflict, these marine lanes would be cut off by the PLA. Taiwan's current air defense systems have no means of countering the hypersonic YJ-21 - in fact, there are hardly any forces in the world capable of effectively intercepting it. This year's Han Kuang drills include some slight changes, such as the shift from coastal combat to in-depth defense and protracted warfare, which means Taiwan forces are admitting that they cannot stop the PLA from landing... |
| ◆ AFP, 2025-7-9 | Twenty-two thousand reservists -- the largest ever call-up -- are participating in this year's drills. |
| ◆ The Telegraph, 2025-7-9 | Taiwan, a country of 23 million people, has 180,000 soldiers and as many as 1.67 million reservists. China has more than two million active soldiers and 1.2 million reservists. Some of Taiwan's most sophisticated technology will also be on display, including the US Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (Himars), TOW 2B anti-tank missiles, new unmanned aviation vehicles (UAVs), and a domestically built version of the Sky Sword II missile. But China's PLA significantly exceeds Taiwan across every metric. China has more than six times the number of tanks and aircraft than Taiwan, and nearly five times more artillery. War game simulations have shown that if Taiwan faces Beijing alone, or if the country surrenders before the U.S. is able to assist, it would be overwhelmed in a very short time. |
| ◆ Newsweek 2025-7-10 | With the HIMARS and Abrams tanks, the Taiwanese military can strike potential PLA landing forces from greater distances and with more precise firepower, gradually wearing down enemy troops and deploying in dispersed positions to avoid destruction by China's long-range rockets and similar weapons. |
| What did China say ? |
♦
Reuters, 2025-7-9:
Taiwan's "attempt to seek independence through force or relying on
foreign (actors) will never succeed". Taiwan's Han Kuang military
exercises were "nothing but a bluff".
"No matter what weapons are used, Taiwan can't resist
China's sharp sword against independence" . |
|
Taiwan's defense / protection strategy |
|
| ◆ CNN, 2025-6-22 | Taiwanese organized efforts to evade conscription are largely seen as a sign of people's apathy towards service, rather than their fear of military rough-and-tumble. |
| ◆ Lowy Institute (Australia), 2025-5-26 | Conscription evasion remains widespread. Defence spending has increased but still falls short of the urgency implied by official rhetoric. Civic mobilisation is growing, but slowly. And public opinion remains ambivalent, supportive of autonomy, but unsure about confrontation |
| ◆ PBS, 2025-4-7 | Taiwan's financial systems, energy and communications are vulnerable to Chinese blockade and cyberattack, and critics worry Taiwan isn't doing enough to prepare for social and economic disruption. On paper, Taiwan's reserves appear large. But these men say military training is insufficient, Many young people today are reluctant to join the armed forces. There's also a general lack of awareness among civilians about the importance of national defense. |
| ◆ PBS, 2025-4-3 | Privately, Taiwanese officials admit they're not ready for the Chinese army. Taiwan needs lots more cheap drones, with technology to repel jamming, secure satellite communications |
| ◆ Fox News, 2025-3-2 | most Taiwanese aren't willing to make the sacrifices required for victory in war. Migrant workers serving as essentially mercenaries would only highlight how few of our citizens are willing to fight . Taiwanese expert says: I understand the logic behind the U.S. policy of strategic ambiguity, but I fear far too many Taiwanese people – especially younger people – are counting on a rescue from Uncle Sam" |
| ◆ Stanford Review, 2025-2-24 | Taiwan's military is dilapidated. The assumption of CSIS's 2023 war game rests on false premises. Upon closer examination, Taiwan's military readiness and morale stand on weak foundations. What money the government does have to spend on procurement they do so on flashy items like fighter jets, tanks, and attack helicopters–are reduced to piles of twisted steel in hours of an invasion. stanfordreview.org/the-illusion-of-taiwanese-strength/ |
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-2-25 | Mr. Trump said Taiwan was spending far too little on its military and was too complacent about the United States coming to its rescue in a war |
| ◆ The Guardian, 2025-2-21 | many analysts believe a large part of Taiwan's protection strategy comes from keeping production of its most advanced chips – which form 90% of the world's supply – onshore. Bonnie Glaser: But Taiwan will likely face pressure from Trump to accede to his demands.” |
| ◆ Wall Street Journal, 2025-2-22 | Taiwan must “adopt a new military culture” akin to that of Israel, turning itself into a warrior-state—or “a porcupine”... “...enough rifles, pistols, and ammunition such that each member of the military, reserves, and civil defense force has emergency access to a personal weapon.” |
| ◆ Bloomberg, 2025-1-14 | Taiwan's military is not prepared for a Trumpian World; With the former president soon back in the White House, Taipei needs to rethink its defense strategy. |
| ◆ Stanford Review, 2025-3-4 | Certainty that American forces won't intervene on Taiwan’s behalf will only embolden the Chinese. Europe has made it clear that Taiwan is not an issue they will intervene for ... It's likely that in the next 10 years, Taiwan will become just another province of China. |
| ◆ Brookings, 2025-2-12 | Trump said in 2021, if China invades Taiwan, “there isn't a f—ing thing we can do about it.” |
| ◆ Fox News, 2025-2-7 | Trump's comments on the campaign trail suggest that he would not be willing to put boots on the ground to face another global superpower in defense of the island democracy. |
| ◆ Politico (EU), 2025-1-30 | Trump said the island should pay the U.S. for protection from China and suggested that trying to defend the island would be futile. |
| ◆ National Interest, 2025-1-13 | Why Trump Won't Defend Taiwan - Waging World War III for Taiwan—or any small nation, for that matter—would not be in keeping with the predilections and preferences of the incoming US president. |
| ◆ The Telegraph, 2025-1-13 | Donald Trump has appointed a number of hawkish foreign policy advisers to his transition team. However, he has pledged not to allow the US to become involved in foreign wars. |
| ◆ Newsweek, 2025-1-3 | Trump, who positioned himself as being tough on China, has suggested he would not defend Taiwan from China. |
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pic. :
Le Monde
diplomatique
|
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Taiwan has already lost its China spy war |
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| ◆◆Foreign Affairs, 2025-9-22 | There is no doubt that Chinese efforts at infiltration combined with military pressure—such as cyberattacks or a naval blockade under the guise of customs enforcement—would be a major challenge to Taiwan, but such measures could just as easily foment hostility toward Beijing as weaken Taiwanese resolve. “Many of Beijing’s efforts to scare Taiwanese citizens invoke more cringe than panic.” |
| ◆◆Strategist (Australia), 2025-7-21 | The activation of a fifth column to incite civil unrest across Taiwan could be highly effective. It could debilitate Taipei's ability to govern and maintain stability, potentially by exploiting existing fault lines in Taiwanese politics. This could provide Beijing with a pretext to deploy what it might call stabilisation forces. A fifth column could plausibly target critical infrastructure, disrupting power grids, railways, air traffic control and water treatment facilities. Bomb threats, arson attacks and incitement of riots would further destabilise society. Combined with Beijing's formidable cyber capabilities, China could sow chaos and division |
| ◆◆Eurasian Times, 2025-7-5 | Recent cases suggest that Taiwan's most sensitive political circles are now within Beijing's reach. The data points to a clear pattern—the CCP is zeroing in on Taiwan’s defense establishment, treating it as a primary target for infiltration. |
| ◆◆LA Times, 2025-5-22 | Taiwan is worried about spying threats. That may mean deporting thousands of Chinese; More than 140,000 Chinese immigrants hold residency in Taiwan because they are married to Taiwanese citizens. |
| ◆◆Washington Post, 2025-3-28 | Taiwanese soldiers guarding president's office were spying for China. The presidential office should be the most secure place, this shows how severe China's infiltration is in Taiwan; Taiwan's sentencing on espionage activities has been too lenient. |
| ◆◆Washington Examiner, 2025-3-25 | Taiwan's defense and security structures are so deeply penetrated by Chinese spies that Beijing knows everything about its plans to deter aggression by the People's Liberation Army, including American defense and intelligence secrets. At this point, any secrets Washington shares with our Taiwanese partners stand a high chance of winding up in Chinese Communist hands.washingtonexaminer.com/restoring-america/courage-strength-optimism/3357074/taiwan-has-already-lost-its-china-spy-war |
| ◆◆Stanford Review, 2025-2-24 | Taiwan's military is dilapidated. Reports of Chinese espionage and infiltration are commonplace throughout Taiwan's military and civil society. |
| ◆◆Fox News, 2025-4-23 | it is our house, we will keep it safe. |
| ◆◆The Conversation, 2025-4-22 | With the US now an unreliable ally, proliferation risk is greatest in East Asia: Japan, South Korea, even Taiwan |
| ◆◆The Hill, 2025-4-19 | The commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, gave testimony to the Senate Armed Services Committee: In 2024, the People's Liberation Party demonstrated growing capabilities through persistent pressure operations with military pressure against Taiwan increasing by 300%”, “China's increasingly aggressive actions near Taiwan are not just exercises, they are rehearsals”. |
| ◆◆The Insider, 2025-4-19 | The commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command: China could stop US airpower from achieving air superiority in the first island chain, China's fighter fleet, bombers, and missiles are enough to cause problems. "their advanced long-range air-to-air missiles also present a tremendous threat.". Researchers have said that China could more easily devastate American airpower than the other way around. |
| ◆◆Asia Times, 2025-4-21 | New non-nuclear bomb's high-temperature fireball and deadly shockwave anticipates urban warfare scenario in Taiwan |
| ◆◆New York Post, 2025-4-10 | Beijing insists will be annexed in the coming years. China acknowledges its role in years of cyberattacks against US over support of Taiwan |
| ◆◆Fox News, 2025-4-11 | commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, said "With military pressure against Taiwan increasing by 300%, China's increasingly aggressive actions near Taiwan are not just exercises, they are rehearsals." |
| ◆◆Washington Examiner, 2025-4-10 | Should China try to take Taiwan militarily, it would result in a 25% Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contraction in Asia and it would have a “knock on effect of 10 to 12% GDP reduction in the United States of America. The unemployment rate in the U.S. would spike “7-10 points above base and likely 500,000 excess deaths of despair above base as well,” |
| ◆◆Newsweek, 2025-4-8 | three likely Chinese actions in The Federalist: a full-scale blockade to pressure Taiwan economically; a lightning strike to achieve a fait accompli before Washington can respond; or a wider regional attack involving U.S. bases in Guam, Japan, or the Philippines. China is engaged in the largest military buildup in modern times, focusing on sea power, amphibious assault capabilities, long-range missiles, and nuclear weapons |
| ◆◆The Guardian, 2025-4-2 | Defence secretary Hegseth indicates US backing for Taiwan – but it is transactional Trump who has the final word. “There's a concern with the Trump administration that its attention shifts around, and what is promised now may not come through,” said scholat at U. Singapore. |
| ◆◆PBS, 2025-4-3 | Privately, Taiwanese officials admit they're not ready for the Chinese army |
| ◆◆Washington Post, 2025-3-21 | “We are moving toward conflict escalation with China, that's for sure”, said a professor at National Chengchi University. |
| ◆◆Daily Express, 2025-3-21 | Taiwan has issued a grim warning on China invasion — but world isn't listening |
| ◆◆Wall Street Journal, 2025-3-17 | Taiwan envisions Chinese assaults on the island to potentially come by land, sea, air and space as well as through cyberattacks, among others. China could launch a rapid invasion or blockade Taiwan to try to pressure it into submission. |
| ◆◆SUN (UK), 2025-3-14 | China to exploit Trump's New World Order with ‘perfect moment’ to strike Taiwan using invasion barges & 1.2m troops. Beijing is already shown signs of preparations for a potential war. |
| ◆◆Associated Press, 2025-3-18 | China conducts air and sea drills (an unusually large number of Chinese military ships, planes and drones entered airspace and waters surrounding Taiwan ) in response to US and Taiwanese statements. |
| ◆ The Telegraph, 2025-1-14 | China's invasion barges are a sure sign that war is coming. Some analysts believe China would need to move two million people across the Strait to guarantee victory. If and when the invasion begins, the barges might be the reason it succeeds |
| ◆ The Hill, 2025-1-7 | Lyle Goldstein, a professor at Brown University said the cost of a war with China is “incalculable” and would at the very least sow mass destruction in Taiwan and the South China Sea region; the U.S. should avoid a war over Taiwan, arguing it amounts to a civil war dispute. |
| ◆ USNI News, 2024-12-19 | The Pentagon's report recognizes that China has “both the will and capability to alter the international order in its favor”; but Xi Jinping's goal of having his military ready to carry out a “short, sharp invasion” of Taiwan by 2027 “is not possible right now” |
| ◆ Financial Times, 2024-12-13 | US nuclear build-up would not help deter China from using atomic weapons in Taiwan, war game finds; Unclassified exercise by CSIS and MIT suggests Washington should not go beyond current modernisation plans...only five of 15 iterations of the nuclear game ended with a withdrawal of the PLA. |
| ◆ New York Times, 2024-12-10 | Taiwan says China has deployed largest fleet of ships in decades, which could block American allies in the region from coming to Taiwan's defense. |
| ◆ Economist, 2024-12-5 | The views (the period of greatest danger has probably been pushed out for several years) are not universally shared, in or out of government. “Xi has his foot firmly on the accelerator and a full tank of gas". |
| ◆ Washington Examiner, 2024-12-4 |
Chinese leaders have said they want their military to be prepared to
invade Taiwan by 2027,
though U.S. defense leaders have said the date does not guarantee a
decision to carry out such an operation has been made.
War with China would exhaust munition stockpiles "very rapidly", national security adviser J. Sullivan acknowledged that China has "the single biggest advantage", "God forbid we end up in a full-scale war with the PRC" . |
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Unaffordable-island!! |
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| ◆ Economist, 2025-1-30 |
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| ◆ Bloomberg, 2024-1-11 | It costs 16 years of annual income to afford a home in Taipei — one of the highest such ratios globally. uk.news.yahoo.com/taiwan-voters-head-polls-ties-220000046.html |
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